印度尼西亚万隆地区私家车和公共交通出行时间和出行成本弹性研究

Elshaan Helmmie, T. B. Joewono
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引用次数: 0

摘要

了解用户对使用交通方式的决定变量的反应机制有利于预测政策的效果。本研究旨在确定私家车和公共交通用户的出行时间和出行成本的弹性值。利用印尼万隆私人车辆和公共交通用户的数据,基于估计的多项式logit模型(MNL)logit计算出行时间和出行成本的弹性。弹性是根据汽油价格、停车费、接送费、进入时间、旅行时间和等待时间计算的。基于出行属性弹性值的结果,发现在进入时间和出行时间方面,跨地铁万隆(TMB)巴士的弹性最大,分别为-0564和-5001,因此TMB巴士对进入时间和行驶时间的变化最敏感。就等待时间和固定成本/汽油而言,传统出租车的弹性值最高,分别为-2630和-1604,因此传统出租车对等待时间和确定成本/汽油的变化最敏感。
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Elasticity of Travel Time and Travel Cost of Private Vehicles and Public Transportation in Bandung, Indonesia
Understanding mechanism of users in responding determinant variables to use mode of transport is beneficial to anticipate the effect of policy. This study aims to identify the elasticity value of travel time and travel cost of the users of private vehicles and public transportation. Using data from users of private vehicles and public transport in Bandung, Indonesia, the elasticity of travel time and travel cost was calculated based on estimated multinomial logit model (MNL) logit. The elasticity was calculated based on gasoline prices, parking fees, transfer fees, access times, travel times, and waiting times. Based on the results of the elasticity values for travel attribute, it was found that in access time and travel time, Trans Metro Bandung (TMB) Bus had the largest elasticity of -0,564 and -5,001, respectively, so TMB Bus was the most sensitive to changes in access time and travel time. In terms of waiting times and fixed costs/gasoline, conventional taxi has the highest elasticity values of -2,630 and -1,604, respectively, so conventional taxi is the most sensitive to changes in waiting time and fixed costs/gasoline.
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审稿时长
24 weeks
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