肯尼亚公众对可再生能源接受程度的专家评选

Pub Date : 2019-09-03 DOI:10.12924/cis2019.07010030
B. Zwaan, F. D. Longa, Helena de Boer, F. X. Johnson, O. Johnson, M. V. Klaveren, J. Mastop, M. Ogeya, Mariëlle Rietkerk, K. Straver, H. Wanjiru
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文报告了大量公众支持在肯尼亚大规模部署三种可再生能源的证据:风能、太阳能光伏和地热能。有了这些可再生技术,肯尼亚政府可以为实现其在《巴黎协定》下的国家承诺做出巨大贡献。价格、基础设施需求和土地使用要求在很大程度上影响了公众对风能、光伏和地热能等可再生能源替代品的看法。虽然对这些技术的总体评价是积极的,但公共当局应该警惕与之相关的可能的不便和缺点。在国家气候和能源发展计划中预测并在可能的情况下减轻这些缺点,可以防止其中一些缺点成为大规模采用风能、光伏和地热能的可能障碍。进一步开展定量的公众接受度研究,就像这里展示的基于(半)专家启发和信息选择问卷的研究,可以帮助肯尼亚全面实现其国家气候和能源目标。更广泛地说,我们认为,建立负担得起的、清洁的和安全的能源系统,以及减缓全球气候变化,可以从利益相关者的参与和公众调查分析中受益,就像我们在研究中所做的那样——在发展中国家和发达国家都是如此。
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An Expert Elicitation of Public Acceptance of Renewable Energy in Kenya
This article reports evidence for substantial public support for the large-scale deployment of three renewable energy options in Kenya: Wind, solar PV, and geothermal energy. With these renewable technologies, the government of Kenya could make a large contribution to reaching its national commitment under the Paris Agreement. Prices, infrastructural needs, and land-use requirements importantly contribute to shaping public opinion about these renewable energy alternatives, in different ways and directions for wind, PV, and geothermal energy. While overall the evaluation of these technologies is positive, public authorities should be wary of the possible inconveniences and drawbacks associated with them. Anticipating and, where possible, mitigating these shortcomings in national climate and energy development plans could preclude some of them becoming possible hindrances for broad-scale adoption of wind, PV, and geothermal energy. Furthering quantitative public acceptance studies, like the one presented here based on (semi-)expert elicitation and information-choice questionnaires, can assist in Kenya fully reaching its national climate and energy ambitions. More generally, we argue that the establishment of affordable, clean, and secure energy systems, as well as the mitigation of global climate change, can benefit from stakeholder engagement and public survey analysis like the one performed in our study—in developing countries as much as in the developed part of the world.
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