在中国城市和俄罗斯城市超过正常退休年龄工作

B. Gustafsson, L. Nivorozhkina, Haiyuan Wan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要利用2002年、2013年和2018年的微观数据,调查了中国和俄罗斯城市中女性55岁和男性60岁的正常养老金年龄以外的工作收入发生率。估计的logit模型表明,在这两个国家,在正常退休年龄后工作的概率与仅与配偶生活、健康和受教育程度较高呈正相关。它与年龄、养老金规模以及在中国城市中的女性呈负相关。我们发现,俄罗斯城市的老年人比中国的老年人更有可能为收入而工作。排除了造成这种差异的两个可能原因,即健康状况的跨国差异和老年人的年龄分布。我们还证明,在中国城市,超过正常退休年龄工作与收入的负相关要比在俄罗斯城市强得多。这与中国城市严格执行正常退休年龄的事实是一致的,试图工作的老年人面临着来自年轻农民工的激烈竞争。我们得出的结论是,中国可以从俄罗斯那里学到,它在增加70岁以下健康人群就业方面具有巨大潜力。
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Working beyond the normal retirement age in urban China and urban Russia
Abstract The incidence of working for earnings beyond the normal pension age of 55 for females and 60 for males in urban China and Russia is investigated using micro-data for 2002, 2013, and 2018. Estimated logit models indicate that, in both countries, the probability of working after normal retirement age is positively related to living with a spouse only, being healthy, and having a higher education level. It is negatively associated with age, the scale of pension, and, in urban China, being female. We find that seniors in urban Russia are more likely to work for earnings than their counterparts in China. Two possible reasons that are attributable to this difference are ruled out, namely cross-country differences in health status and the age distribution among elderly people. We also demonstrate that working beyond the normal retirement age has a much stronger negative association with earnings in urban China than in urban Russia. This is consistent with the facts that the normal retirement age is strictly enforced in urban China and seniors attempting to work face intensive competition from younger migrant workers. We conclude that China can learn from Russia that it has a substantial potential for increasing employment among healthy people under 70.
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来源期刊
IZA Journal of Development and Migration
IZA Journal of Development and Migration Social Sciences-Anthropology
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
审稿时长
10 weeks
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