旅行对表现的影响:对国家橄榄球联盟(NRL)比赛的13年分析

IF 2.8 2区 医学 Q1 SPORT SCIENCES Science and Medicine in Football Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI:10.1080/24733938.2021.1876243
D. Read, Sean Williams, Hugh H K Fullagar, J. Weakley
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要本研究旨在调查旅行对国家橄榄球联盟(NRL)比赛成绩的影响。分析了2352场NRL比赛(2007-2019)的4704次观测结果。旅行对比赛结果(即输赢)的影响使用广义线性混合模型进行分析,积分差使用线性混合模型。在NRL中,每行驶1000公里,赢得比赛的估计概率就会降低−2.7%[−5.7至0.3%],估计积分差就会降低−1.1[−2.0至−0.2]分。就每行驶1000公里而言,2007-2009赛季赢得比赛的可能性降低幅度最大(-2.7%[-4.7%--0.6%]),而2018-2019赛季的可能性最大(1.1%[-1.2%-3.3%]),来自昆士兰州的球队赢得比赛的可能性降低最大,而来自维多利亚州的球队获胜的可能性最大,尽管各州之间没有明显的差异。这些数据表明,旅行影响了NRL比赛的表现,尽管这种影响随着时间的推移而减少。这些发现对从业者很有用,他们为运动员在需要频繁短途旅行的运动中做好准备。
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The effects of travel on performance: a 13-year analysis of the National Rugby League (NRL) competition
ABSTRACT The purpose was to investigate the effects of travel on performance in the National Rugby League (NRL). A total of 4,704 observations from 2,352 NRL matches (2007–2019) were analysed. The effect of travel on match outcome (i.e., win/loss) was analysed using a generalized linear mixed model, and the points difference using a linear mixed model. For every 1,000 km travelled in the NRL, the estimated probability of winning a match was reduced by −2.7% [−5.7 to 0.3%] and the estimated points difference by −1.1 [−2.0 to −0.2] points. In relation to every 1,000 km travelled, the 2007–2009 seasons had the greatest reduction in the likelihood of winning a match (−2.7% [−4.7 to −0.6%]), with the 2018–2019 seasons having the greatest likelihood (1.1% [−1.2 to 3.3%]). Regarding inter-state travel, teams from the state of Queensland had the greatest reduction in the likelihood of winning a match while the team from the state of Victoria had the greatest likelihood, although there were no clear differences between states. These data suggest that travel has impacted performance in NRL matches although this effect has reduced over time. These findings are useful for practitioners that prepare athletes in sports where frequent short-haul travel is required.
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CiteScore
6.70
自引率
11.80%
发文量
69
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