金砖国家基础设施投资和发展对经济增长的影响

IF 0.8 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Indian Growth and Development Review Pub Date : 2020-08-10 DOI:10.1108/igdr-01-2020-0007
Rohit Apurv, S. Uzma
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引用次数: 11

摘要

本文的目的是研究基础设施投资和发展对巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非(金砖国家)经济增长的影响。对每个国家的影响分别进行了检查,也对每个国家进行了综合检查。设计/方法/方法应用普通最小二乘回归方法来检验每个国家基础设施投资和发展对经济增长的影响。利用面板最小二乘法、面板最小二乘固定效应模型和面板最小二乘随机效应模型等面板数据技术,结合金砖国家所有国家,研究了集体影响。本文还采用了动态面板模型进行分析。研究结果有好有坏。金砖国家基础设施投资与发展和经济增长之间的联系并不牢固。在巴西和南非,基础设施投资与发展和经济增长之间的关系不显著。能源和交通基础设施的投资和发展带动了俄罗斯的经济增长。印度的电信基础设施投资与发展与经济增长呈负相关,而中国的交通基础设施投资与发展与经济增长呈负相关。面板数据结果表明,能源基础设施投资和发展导致经济增长,而电信基础设施投资和发展与经济增长呈显著负相关。本研究采用了时间序列分析和面板数据分析,以38年(1980-2017年)的时间跨度考察了基础设施投资和发展对金砖国家经济增长的影响,具有创新性。时间序列回归分析用于单独检验对单个国家的影响,而面板数据回归分析用于检验对金砖国家所有国家的集体影响。
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The impact of infrastructure investment and development on economic growth on BRICS
Purpose The purpose of the paper is to examine the impact of infrastructure investment and development on economic growth in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries. The effect is examined for each country separately and also collectively by combining each country. Design/methodology/approach Ordinary least square regression method is applied to examine the effects of infrastructure investment and development on economic growth for each country. Panel data techniques such as panel least square method, panel least square fixed-effect model and panel least square random effect model are used to examine the collective impact by combining all countries in BRICS. The dynamic panel model is also incorporated for analysis in the study. Findings The results of the study are mixed. The association between infrastructure investment and development and economic growth for countries within BRICS is not robust. There is an insignificant relationship between infrastructure investment and development and economic growth in Brazil and South Africa. Energy and transportation infrastructure investment and development lead to economic growth in Russia. Telecommunication infrastructure investment and development and economic growth have a negative relationship in India, whereas there is a negative association between transport infrastructure investment and development and economic growth in China. Panel data results conclude that energy infrastructure investment and development lead to economic growth, whereas telecommunication infrastructure investment and development are significant and negatively linked with economic growth. Originality/value The study is novel as time series analysis and panel data analysis are used, taking the time span for 38 years (1980–2017) to investigate the influence of infrastructure investment and development on economic growth in BRICS Countries. Time-series regression analysis is used to test the impact for individual countries separately, whereas panel data regression analysis is used to examine the impact collectively for all countries in BRICS.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
7
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