报道印尼的家庭

Irwan Susanto, S. Handajani
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在统计建模框架中,收入分配的形式可以基于某些统计分布来接近。在具有多模式的收入分配建模中,有限混合模型的使用相对灵活。多模式模式可以表示为数据上存在不同的聚类。能够反映收入经济同质性的不同聚类由有限混合模型的混合成分表示。本文基于2014-2015年第五波印度尼西亚家庭生活调查(IFLS5),采用有限混合模型对印度尼西亚的人均家庭收入分布进行建模。有限混合模型的混合分量是基于重尾统计分布建立的,即伽玛分布、对数正态分布和威布尔分布。通过期望最大化(EM)算法,使用最大似然估计方法对拟合的有限混合模型进行估计。通过bootstrap似然比统计检验、Akaike信息准则(AIC)和贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)验证了合适的有限混合模型。基于这些结果,印度尼西亚的人均家庭收入分布可以用四成分对数正态混合模型来建模。
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PENGELOMPOKAN RUMAH TANGGA DI INDONESIA BERDASARKAN PENDAPATAN PER KAPITA DENGAN MODEL FINITE MIXTURE
In the statistical modeling framework, the form of the income distribution can be approaching based on certain statistical distributions. The use of the finite mixture model is relatively flexible in the modeling of the income distribution that has a multimodal pattern. The multimodal pattern can be indicated as the existence of different cluster on the data. The different clusters which can reflect the economic homogeneity of income are represented by the mixture components of the finite mixture model. In this paper, the finite mixture model is implemented for modeling the distribution of household income per capita in Indonesia based on The Fifth Wave of the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS5) 2014-2015. The mixture components of the finite mixture model have been build based on the heavy-tailed statistical distributions, i.e., gamma, lognormal, and Weibull distributions. The estimation of the fitting finite mixture model was conducted using the maximum-likelihood estimation method through the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. The suitable finite mixture models were verified with the bootstrap likelihood ratio statistics test, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Based on the results, the distribution of household income per capita in Indonesia can be modeled by the four components-lognormal mixture model.
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