有效市场假说与股票市场异常:四个欧洲国家的经验证据

Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Journal of Applied Business Research Pub Date : 2018-02-06 DOI:10.19030/JABR.V34I1.10111
M. Rossi, A. Gunardi
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引用次数: 57

摘要

股票市场效率是指上市公司的股票价格揭示了公司价值的所有数据(Fama,1965)。这样,就不可能获得额外的回报。然而,反对有效市场假说的证据越来越多。研究人员研究了以金融市场为特征的日历异常现象。这些CA与有效假设相矛盾。本研究研究了法国、德国、意大利和西班牙在新千年第一个十年(2001-2010)的一些最重要的市场异常。在本研究中,为了验证收益的分布及其自相关性,我们使用了统计方法:GARCH模型和OLS回归。分析没有显示出全面的日历异常的有力证据。其中一些影响是针对具体国家的。此外,这些国家的异常在新千年的第一个十年是不稳定的,这一结果表明了对CA意义的一些怀疑。
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Efficient market hypothesis and stock market anomalies: Empirical evidence in four European countries
The stock market efficiency is the idea that equity prices of listed companies reveal all the data regarding the company value (Fama, 1965). In this way, there isn’t possible to make additional returns. However, evidence against the Efficient Market Hypothesis is growing. Researchers studied Calendar Anomalies (CAs) that characterised financial markets. These CAs contradict the efficient hypothesis. This research studies some of the most important market anomalies in France, Germany, Italy and Spain stock exchange indexes in the first decade of new millennium (20012010). In this study, to verify the distribution of the returns and their auto correlation, we use statistical methods: the GARCH model and the OLS regression. The analysis doesn’t show strong proof of comprehensive Calendar Anomalies. Some of these effects are country-specific. Furthermore, these country-anomalies are instable in the first decade of new millennium, and this result demonstrates some doubt on the significance of CAs.
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来源期刊
Journal of Applied Business Research
Journal of Applied Business Research Business, Management and Accounting-Business and International Management
CiteScore
0.60
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0.00%
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0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR) welcomes articles in all areas of applied business and economics research. Both theoretical and applied manuscripts will be considered for publication; however, theoretical manuscripts must provide a clear link to important and interesting business and economics applications. Using a wide range of research methods including statistical analysis, analytical work, case studies, field research, and historical analysis, articles examine significant applied business and economics research questions from a broad range of perspectives. The intention of JABR is to publish papers that significantly contribute to these fields.
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