澳大利亚自由贸易协定(fta)和小麦出口潜力:面板重力模型方法

IF 1.2 Q4 BUSINESS Journal of East-West Business Pub Date : 2021-09-22 DOI:10.1080/10669868.2021.1974640
K. P. Timsina, R. Culas
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引用次数: 5

摘要

摘要本文利用1996 - 2017年的面板数据,对澳大利亚不同自由贸易协定的贸易创造效应和出口转移效应进行了估算。异方差稳健回归误差规范检验证实了泊松伪极大似然估计量相对于普通最小二乘估计量的相关性。结果表明,自由贸易协定在小麦贸易中的总贸易创造效应高于区域内出口转移效应。澳大利亚对印度尼西亚、伊拉克、日本、韩国和菲律宾等国的小麦出口潜力已经枯竭,因此建议根据未来的需求寻找其他潜在市场。
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Australia’s Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and Potentiality of Wheat Exports: A Panel Gravity Model Approach
Abstract This paper estimates the trade creation and export diversion effects of different Australia’s free trade agreements (FTAs) using the panel data from 1996 to 2017. The heteroscedasticity robust Regression Error Specification Test confirms the relevance of Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood estimator over Ordinary Least Square estimator. Results showed that the total trade creation effects of FTAs in wheat trade is higher than Intra block export diversion. The exhausted wheat exports potentiality from Australia to the countries like Indonesia, Iraq, Japan, Korea, and the Philippines has suggested seeking for additional potential markets based on demand in the future.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
26.70%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: Journal of East-West Business is a quarterly journal that deals with contemporary and emerging aspects of business studies, strategies, development, and practice as they relate to the Russian Federation, the new republics of the Commonwealth of Independent States, and Eastern/Central Europe-and business relationships with other countries of the world. The Journal of East-West Business is international in scope and treats business issues from comparative, cross-cultural, and cross-national perspectives. The journal features an Editorial Advisory Board that represents the Russian Federation, Eastern/Central European, and Baltic states in this new business arena.
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