汇款是否促进了东南欧国家的经济增长?

Kaltrina Kajtazi, Besnik Fetai
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文旨在考察包括发达国家希腊在内的10个东南欧发展中国家的汇款与经济增长之间的因果关系。该研究使用了各种计量经济学技术,如OLS、固定效应模型、随机效应模型和Hausman-TaylorIV估计量。回归结果表明,10个东南欧国家的汇款与经济增长之间存在正相关。研究结果支持汇款流入在10个东南欧国家产生经济增长的假设。尽管如此,外国直接投资、最终消费支出、资本形成总额、出口和经济增长之间也存在积极关系。唯一的汇率与经济增长没有因果关系,这意味着汇率不会影响经济增长。由于汇款对经济增长有积极影响,而且汇款是东南欧国家的一个重要外部融资来源,政府应实施正确的政策,鼓励和引导汇款流入投资目的,从而减少移民和失业。该研究具有独创性,旨在促进汇款流入在包括希腊在内的东南欧发展中国家的作用和意义。这项研究的结果可能对这些国家的政府和其他政策制定者将汇款用于投资目的很有价值。
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Does the Remittance Generate Economic Growth in the South East European Countries?
This paper aims to examine the causal relationships between remittances and economic growth in 10 Southeast European developing countries, including Greece as a developed country. The research uses various econometric techniques, such as OLS, fixed-effects model, random-effects model, and Hausman-Taylor IV estimators. The regression results have shown up that there is a positive link between remittances and economic growth in 10 Southeastern European countries. Findings support the hypothesis that the remittance inflows generate economic growth in 10 Southeast European countries. Despite this, a positive relationship is also revealed between foreign direct investment, final consumption expenditure, gross capital formation, exports, and economic growth. The only exchange rate does not have a causal link on economic growth, meaning that the exchange rate does not affect economic growth. Since the remittances have a positive effect on the economic growth, and they represent a large source of external financing in Southeast European countries, the government should implement the right policies to reflect on encouraging and channelizing the remittance inflows for investment purposes, which in turn lead to a reduction of migration and unemployment. The study is original and makes effort to promote the role and significance of remittance inflows in the Southeast European developing countries, including Greece. The findings of the study might be valuable for Governments of these countries and other policymakers to channels remittances for investment purposes.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal called Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (formerly Analele ştiinţifice ale Universităţii "Al.I. Cuza" din Iaşi. Ştiinţe economice / Scientific Annals of the Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi. Economic Sciences), was first published in 1954. It is published under the care of the Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, the oldest higher education institution in Romania, a place of excellence and innovation in education and research since 1860. Throughout its editorial life, the journal has been continuously improving. Renowned professors, well-known in the country and abroad, have published in this journal. The quality of the published materials is ensured both through their review by external reviewers of the institution and by the editorial staff that includes professors for each area of interest. The journal published papers in the following main sections: Accounting; Finance, Money and Banking; Management, Marketing and Communication; Microeconomics and Macroeconomics; Statistics and Econometrics; The Society of Knowledge and Business Information Systems.
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