直接变分同化雷达反射率数据对水流星和水汽混合比的功率变换函数试验

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Weather and Forecasting Pub Date : 2023-08-02 DOI:10.1175/waf-d-22-0158.1
Jiafen Hu, Jidong Gao, Chengsi Liu, Guifu Zhang, P. Heinselman, Jacob T. Carlin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

将雷达反射率同化到对流尺度NWP模型中仍然是雷达数据同化中一个具有挑战性的课题。一个主要原因是反射率前向观测算子是高度非线性的。为了应对这一挑战,在本研究中,将功率变换函数应用于WRF模型的水文气象和水蒸气混合比变量。对2019年发生的五次高影响天气事件进行了三次三维变分数据同化实验并进行了比较:(i)使用原始水文气象混合比作为控制变量同化反射率的对照实验,以及(iii)一项实验,该实验使用功率转换的水文气象和水蒸气混合比(qv)作为控制变量,同化反射率并检索伪水蒸气观测结果。对五个案例的0-3小时预测进行了定性和定量评估。在功率变换混合比的两个实验中的分析和预测性能优于对照实验。值得注意的是,发现将功率转换的qv作为额外的控制变量来同化伪水蒸气,可以提高所有情况下的分析和短期预测的性能。此外,使用功率变换的两个实验的成本函数最小化的收敛速度比控制实验的收敛速度快。
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Test of Power Transformation Function to Hydrometeor and Water Vapor Mixing Ratios for Direct Variational Assimilation of Radar Reflectivity Data
Assimilating radar reflectivity into convective-scale NWP models remains a challenging topic in radar data assimilation. A primary reason is that the reflectivity forward observation operator is highly nonlinear. To address this challenge, a power transformation function is applied to the WRF model’s hydrometeor and water vapor mixing ratio variables in this study. Three 3-D variational data assimilation experiments are performed and compared for five high-impact weather events that occurred in 2019: (i) a control experiment that assimilates reflectivity using the original hydrometeor mixing ratios as control variables, (ii) an experiment that assimilates reflectivity using power-transformed hydrometeor mixing ratios as control variables, and (iii) an experiment that assimilates reflectivity and retrieved pseudo-water vapor observations using power-transformed hydrometeor and water vapor mixing ratios (qv) as control variables. Both qualitative and quantitative evaluations are performed for 0–3-hour forecasts from the five cases. The analysis and forecast performance in the two experiments with power-transformed mixing ratios is better than the control experiment. Notably, the assimilation of pseudo-water vapor with power-transformed qv as an additional control variable is found to improve the performance of the analysis and short-term forecasts for all cases. In addition, the convergence rate of the cost function minimization for the two experiments that use the power transformation is faster than that of the control experiments.
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来源期刊
Weather and Forecasting
Weather and Forecasting 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
17.20%
发文量
131
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather and Forecasting (WAF) (ISSN: 0882-8156; eISSN: 1520-0434) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.
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