利用贝叶斯网络和do-Calculus引入因果推理

IF 1.5 Q2 EDUCATION, SCIENTIFIC DISCIPLINES Journal of Statistics and Data Science Education Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI:10.1080/26939169.2022.2128118
Yonggang Lu, Qiujie Zheng, Daniel Quinn
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们提出了一种使用贝叶斯网络和do-Calculus来教授因果推理的教学方法,它比现有方法需要更少的统计学知识,并且可以在初级到高级课程中一致实施。此外,这种方法旨在解决因果推理的中心问题,强调概率推理和因果假设。它还揭示了因果推理和统计推理之间的相关性和区别。使用免费软件工具,我们用五个例子展示了我们的方法,教师可以使用这些例子向不同层次的学生介绍因果关系的概念,激励他们学习更多因果推理的概念,并展示因果推理的实际应用。我们还提供了在课堂上使用这五个例子的详细建议。
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Introducing Causal Inference Using Bayesian Networks and do-Calculus
Abstract We present an instructional approach to teaching causal inference using Bayesian networks and do-Calculus, which requires less prerequisite knowledge of statistics than existing approaches and can be consistently implemented in beginner to advanced levels courses. Moreover, this approach aims to address the central question in causal inference with an emphasis on probabilistic reasoning and causal assumption. It also reveals the relevance and distinction between causal and statistical inference. Using a freeware tool, we demonstrate our approach with five examples that instructors can use to introduce students at different levels to the conception of causality, motivate them to learn more concepts for causal inference, and demonstrate practical applications of causal inference. We also provide detailed suggestions on using the five examples in the classroom.
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来源期刊
Journal of Statistics and Data Science Education
Journal of Statistics and Data Science Education EDUCATION, SCIENTIFIC DISCIPLINES-
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
35.30%
发文量
52
审稿时长
12 weeks
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