利用NCEP/NCAR的再分析数据,1981年至2015年印度洋表面风的变化趋势

G. Mojgan, Mohammad Mehdizadeh Mehdi, Bannazadeh Mohammad Reza
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引用次数: 3

摘要

了解海洋表面风的模式及其随时间的变化是非常重要的。本研究利用NCEP/NCAR数据再分析,对1981-2015年35 a的印度洋地面风场进行了研究和分析。结果表明:5月发生从冷到暖的转变,6月开始并持续到8月。从11月开始,风速模式倾向于冬季季风。6月最大平均风速为13 m/s, 10月最小风速为2 m/s。夏季盛行风的方向是西南。最高风速发生在纬度10 - 15度。风速分布分析表明,风速在2 ~ 5 m/s的情况约占60%。所有月份都有可能吹0.5 - 4m /s的风;但这种可能性在秋季(10月和11月)高于夏季(7月和8月)。月风速大于5 m/s的概率分布则完全相反;即7月和8月的风速高于10月。对地表水风速和海温的长期调查表明,在55年的统计周期内,风速和海温的变化趋势相反。风速减小,海面温度升高。大气图高层风速梯度呈增大趋势;这一现象证实了全球变暖和海洋变暖对印度洋季风系统模式的影响。关键词北
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The Trend of Changes in Surface Wind in the Indian Ocean, in the Period from 1981 to 2015, Using Reanalysis Data, NCEP/NCAR
Knowing the pattern of surface winds on the seas and oceans and how it changes over time is of great importance. In this research, the monthly surface wind fields on the Indian Ocean have been studied and analyzed for a 35-year period (1981-2015), using NCEP/NCAR data reanalysis. The results show that transition from cold to warm pattern happens in May and that the summer monsoon pattern begins in June and continues until August. The wind speed pattern tends to the winter monsoon from November on. The maximum average wind speed in June is 13 m/s and its minimum is 2 m/s in October. Direction of prevailing winds is the southwest in the summer. The highest wind speed happens in the latitude of 10 - 15 degrees. Analysis of the wind distribution shows that the wind speed of 2 - 5 m/s happens in about 60% of the cases. There is probability of blowing 0.5 - 4 m/s wind for all months; but this probability is higher in the autumn (October and November) than that in the summer (July and August). Probability of the monthly over 5 m/s winds shows a definitely opposite distribution; that is, wind speed in July and August is higher than that in October. A long-term survey on the speed of surface water wind and sea surface temperature shows an opposite changing trend in wind speed and sea surface temperature during a 55-year statistical period. Wind speed reduced, while the sea surface temperature was increasing. The wind speed gradient in the upper levels of atmosphere graph has been increasing; this phenomenon confirms the effects of global warming and ocean warming on the monsoon system patterns in the Indian Ocean. Keywords North
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