将能源消费与经济增长联系起来:以卢旺达为例

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI:10.3280/efe2020-002008
Gerard Bikorimana, Charles Rutikanga, Didier Mwizerwa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了1985-2017年期间卢旺达能源消费与经济增长之间的联系。ARDL界检验用于检验协整的存在,而Toda和Yamamoto granger因果关系检验用于检验因果方向。ARDL边界检验的估计结果表明,没有证据表明所研究的变量之间存在协整。此外,实证结果证实,卢旺达的经济增长与能源消耗之间没有关系。研究结果支持了能源消耗和经济增长之间的“中性假说”。这意味着,无论是保守的还是扩张的能源消费政策都不会对经济增长产生任何影响。此外,该研究发现了从能源消耗到经济增长的单向格兰杰因果关系。这一发现的结果与“增长假说”一致,该假说假定能源消耗会导致经济增长
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Linking energy consumption with economic growth: Rwanda as a case study
This paper analyzes the link between energy consumption and economic growth in Rwanda for the period 1985-2017. The ARDL bounds test was used to test for the existence of co-integration, while the Toda and Yamamoto granger causality test was applied to test for causal direction. The results from the estimation of the ARDL bounds test showed that there was no evidence of co-integration between the considered variables under study. Additionally, the empirical findings confirmed that there was no relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in Rwanda. The findings supported the "neutrality hypothesis" between energy consumption and economic growth. This implies that neither conservative nor expansive policies in relation to energy consumption have any effect on economic growth. Furthermore, the study found a uni-directional granger causality running from energy consumption to economic growth. The results of this findings are consistent with the "growth hypothesis" which postulates that energy consumption leads to economic growth
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来源期刊
Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment
Economics and Policy of Energy and the Environment Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
0.50
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0.00%
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8
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