国家镇压对政治行为和态度的长期影响:来自台湾的证据

IF 1.2 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Journal of East Asian Studies Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI:10.1017/jea.2021.24
Fang-Yi Chiou, J. Hong
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文考察了针对公民的暴力如何长期影响他们的政治态度和行为,以及这些影响如何随时间变化。我们构建并分析了一个关于1947年台湾二二八事件受害者的新数据集,调查数据跨越1990年至2017年。我们的实证分析显示,直接或间接经历过“台海事件”的族群,支持国民党的可能性较低,国民党是台海事件的前威权执政党。他们倾向于不同意国民党的关键传统政策立场(与中国大陆统一),更有可能自我认同为台湾人,并且不太可能投票给国民党的总统候选人。出生在事件中伤亡人数较多的城镇的台湾居民更有可能拒绝统一。最后,我们发现,在民主化之后的一段时间内,这种影响有所不同。
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THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF STATE REPRESSION ON POLITICAL BEHAVIOR AND ATTITUDES: EVIDENCE FROM TAIWAN
Abstract This article examines how violence against citizens affects their political attitudes and behavior in the long run, and how those effects vary over time. We construct and analyze a novel dataset on the victims of Taiwan's February 28 Incident, in 1947, with survey data spanning 1990 to 2017. Our empirical analysis shows that cohorts having directly or indirectly experienced the Incident are less likely to support the Kuomintang Party (KMT), the former authoritarian ruling party responsible for the Incident. They tend to disagree with the key conventional policy stand of the KMT (unification with mainland China), are more likely to self-identify as Taiwanese, and are less likely to vote for KMT presidential candidates. Taiwan's residents who were born in towns with larger number of casualties during the Incident are more likely to reject unification. Finally, the effects are found to vary over the period following democratization.
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来源期刊
Journal of East Asian Studies
Journal of East Asian Studies SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
15.40%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: Experts from around the globe come together in this important peer-reviewed forum to present compelling social science research on the entire East Asia region. Topics include democratic governance, military security, political culture, economic cooperation, human rights, and environmental concerns. Thought-provoking book reviews enhance each issue. Want more information information on Journal of East Asian Studies? Sign up for our E-Alerts for regular updates.
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