新冠肺炎疫情对中国股市的影响

IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Frontiers of Economics in China Pub Date : 2021-12-30 DOI:10.54605/fec20210406
Nan Li, Yuhong Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了2020年春节假期新冠肺炎疫情爆发前后中国股市股票模糊性、风险、流动性和股价的影响。我们使用日内交易数据来衡量股票的模糊性。新冠肺炎疫情对中国平均股票模糊度、风险和非流动性产生了显著影响,导致市场平均模糊度出现结构性断裂。而同期的股权溢价和流动性溢价变化不大。随着疫情在中国得到控制,市场平均股票模糊性和风险降低,股票流动性改善至疫情前水平。2020年下半年,如果美国新增确诊病例激增,中国股市的平均模糊性和风险将再次增加。我们还发现了一种“逃向流动性”现象,在2020年第四季度,等权重(价值加权)20个交易日的流动性溢价显著下降至约-4.42%(-6.48%)。
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The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Market in China
This paper studies the impact of the COVID-19 on the stock ambiguity, risks, liquidity, and stock prices in China stock market, before and after the outbreak of COVID-19 during the Chinese Spring Festival holidays in 2020. We measure stock ambiguity using the intraday trading data. The outbreak of COVID-19 has a significant impact on the average stock ambiguity, risk, and illiquidity in China and induces structural break in the market average ambiguity. However, the equity premium and liquidity premium change little during the same period. The market average stock ambiguity and risks decrease, and stock liquidity improves to pre-pandemic levels as the pandemic is under control in China. The market average stock ambiguity and risks in China increase again when the confirmed new cases in the U.S. surge in the second half of 2020. We also find a “flight-to-liquidity” phenomenon, and the equally-weighted (value-weighted) 20-trading-day liquidity premium declined significantly to about –4.42% (–6.48%) during the fourth quarter of 2020.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
373
期刊介绍: Frontiers of Economics in China seeks to provide a forum for a broad blend of peer-reviewed academic papers of economics in order to promote communication and exchanges between economists in China and abroad. It will reflect the enormous advances that are currently being made in China in the field of economy and society. In addition, this journal also bears the mission of introducing the academic achievements on Chinese economics research to the world.
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