使用Mann-Kendall和Sen的斜率估计统计检验对Humidex作为热不适指数的趋势分析

IF 1.3 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Health Engineering and Management Journal Pub Date : 2022-05-07 DOI:10.34172/ehem.2022.18
G. Fallah Ghalhari, S. Farhang Dehghan, M. Asghari
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:本研究的目的是通过分析伊朗30年夏季的气象数据来评估Humidex (HD)趋势作为热不适指数。方法:利用1985-2014年30年统计期40个天气气象站逐日平均气温和相对湿度资料。HD指数是根据Masterton和Richardson介绍的一个方程,根据温度和相对湿度计算的。采用Mann-Kendall和Sen 's斜率试验分析高程的变化趋势。结果:在72%的气象站中,HD呈上升趋势,有40%的气象站具有统计学意义。研究年份夏季气温变化趋势波动较大,但总体而言,在干旱、半干旱和湿润地区,夏季气温变化趋势以增量为主。此外,所有地区的相对湿度在研究期间的变化趋势都是递减的。结论:以温湿度为基础的HD变化趋势为,干旱半干旱区HD呈递增趋势,地中海及湿润区HD呈递减趋势。
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Trend analysis of Humidex as a heat discomfort index using Mann-Kendall and Sen’s slope estimator statistical tests
Background: The aim of this research was to assess the Humidex (HD) trends as a thermal discomfort index by analyzing meteorological data during a 30-year period of summertime in Iran. Methods: For this purpose, data regarding average temperature and relative humidity were collected daily from 40 different synoptic meteorological stations during a 30-year statistical period (1985-2014). The HD index was calculated based on temperature and relative humidity according to an equation introduced by Masterton and Richardson. The Mann-Kendall and Sen’s slope tests were performed to analyze the changing trend of the HD. Results: Based on the findings, in 72% of the meteorological stations, the HD followed an upward trend, so that 40% of them was statistically significant. The changing trends in temperature during summertime throughout the studied years fluctuated greatly but generally, in many regions such as the arid, semi-arid, and humid regions, this trend was mostly incremental. Also, the changing trends in relative humidity in all regions was decremental throughout the years under study. Conclusion: The changing trend of the HD, which is based on temperature and humidity, was incremental in arid and semi-arid regions and decremental in the Mediterranean and humid regions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
37.50%
发文量
17
审稿时长
12 weeks
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