葡萄牙近期危机中的人口老龄化和劳动力市场

IF 0.2 Q3 Social Sciences Portuguese Journal of Social Science Pub Date : 2018-12-08 DOI:10.1386/PJSS.17.1.105_1
P. Albuquerque
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引用次数: 1

摘要

最近的债务危机对南欧国家的影响尤其严重。其最负面的影响之一是高失业率。人口老龄化使社会保障系统的运作复杂化,特别是由于支付养老金的财政承诺增加。这给更大的预算赤字带来了压力,反过来又增加了公共债务,从而加剧了危机和失业率。尽管如此,人口老龄化也有利于降低失业率。在这里,我们讨论了老龄化对劳动力市场表现总体指标的影响,并提请人们注意人口年龄结构变化经常被遗忘的积极直接影响。我们用葡萄牙危机时期的数据举例说明了这一点,葡萄牙不仅受到严重债务危机的影响,而且人口中老年人的比例也很高。此外,我们还研究了不同年龄组在劳动力市场经历方面的相对表现。
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Population ageing and the labour market during the recent crisis in Portugal
The recent debt crisis has affected Southern European countries particularly severely. One of its most negative effects has been the high level of unemployment. The ageing of populations complicates the functioning of social security systems, particularly owing to an increase in financial commitments to pay pensions. This creates pressure for larger budget deficits that, in turn, increase public debt, thus worsening the crisis and also the unemployment rate. Nevertheless, population ageing can also operate favourably in reducing the unemployment rate. Here we discuss the effects of ageing on the aggregate measures of labour market performance and call attention to the frequently forgotten positive direct effect of a change in the age structure of a population. We exemplify this with data from the period when Portugal was in crisis, Portugal being one of the countries that was not only affected by the severe debt crisis but also has a high proportion of elderly individuals in the population. In addition, we research the relative performance of the different age groups in terms of their labour market experiences.
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期刊介绍: The Portuguese Journal of Social Science is a peer-reviewed cross-disciplinary journal focusing on research about Portuguese society by scholars of any nationality. However, the journal takes a broad view and accepts articles that are not exclusively devoted to the Portuguese case. We particularly welcome comparative studies. While the journal concentrates on research articles it operates a flexible policy in respect of other types of submission, including book reviews.
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