加权稀疏决策树的快速优化,用于最优治疗方案和最优策略设计

Ali Behrouz, Mathias Lécuyer, C. Rudin, M. Seltzer
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引用次数: 2

摘要

稀疏决策树是可解释模型中最常见的形式之一。虽然最近的进展已经产生了完全优化稀疏决策树进行预测的算法,但这项工作并没有涉及策略设计,因为这些算法无法处理加权数据样本。具体来说,它们依赖于损失函数的离散性,这意味着不能直接使用实值权重。例如,现有的技术都没有产生在单个数据点上包含反向倾向加权的政策。我们提出了三种有效的稀疏加权决策树优化算法。第一种方法直接优化加权损失函数;然而,对于大型数据集,它往往在计算上效率低下。我们的第二种方法更有效地扩展,将权重转换为整数值,并使用数据复制将加权决策树优化问题转换为未加权(但更大)的对应问题。我们的第三种算法可扩展到更大的数据集,它使用随机过程,以与权重成比例的概率对每个数据点进行采样。我们给出了两种快速方法误差的理论界限,并通过实验表明,这些方法可以比直接优化加权损耗快两个数量级,而不会损失显著的精度。
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Fast optimization of weighted sparse decision trees for use in optimal treatment regimes and optimal policy design
Sparse decision trees are one of the most common forms of interpretable models. While recent advances have produced algorithms that fully optimize sparse decision trees for prediction, that work does not address policy design, because the algorithms cannot handle weighted data samples. Specifically, they rely on the discreteness of the loss function, which means that real-valued weights cannot be directly used. For example, none of the existing techniques produce policies that incorporate inverse propensity weighting on individual data points. We present three algorithms for efficient sparse weighted decision tree optimization. The first approach directly optimizes the weighted loss function; however, it tends to be computationally inefficient for large datasets. Our second approach, which scales more efficiently, transforms weights to integer values and uses data duplication to transform the weighted decision tree optimization problem into an unweighted (but larger) counterpart. Our third algorithm, which scales to much larger datasets, uses a randomized procedure that samples each data point with a probability proportional to its weight. We present theoretical bounds on the error of the two fast methods and show experimentally that these methods can be two orders of magnitude faster than the direct optimization of the weighted loss, without losing significant accuracy.
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