哥白尼北极区域再分析(CARRA)在表征欧洲北极东北部近地表温度和风速方面的价值

IF 1.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 ECOLOGY Polar Research Pub Date : 2022-03-31 DOI:10.33265/polar.v41.8002
M. Køltzow, H. Schyberg, Eivind Støylen, Xiaohua Yang
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引用次数: 8

摘要

根据观测结果对高分辨率(网格间距为2.5 km)哥白尼北极区域再分析(CARRA)和较粗分辨率(网格间距约为31 km)全球欧洲中期天气预报中心第五代再分析(ERA5)对斯瓦尔巴群岛、挪威北部、瑞典和芬兰的2米气温和10米风速的表示进行了评估。两次重新分析之间最大的差异出现在地形和海岸线复杂的地区,以及冬季海冰温度的变化。在大多数方面,CARRA与观测值的一致性优于ERA5,但CARRA的增加值因地区和季节而异。此外,CARRA的附加价值在两个参数中都可以看到,但温度比风速更明显。CARRA在偏差和误差的标准偏差等一般评估指标方面与观测结果更一致,与观测到的空间和时间变异性更相似,并更好地捕捉到局部极端情况。还演示了极地低气压、船舶结冰和冬季温暖期等高影响天气的更好表现。最后,研究表明,再分析与观测之间的很大一部分差异是由于代表性问题,即子网格变异性,这在网格化数据中无法表示。这种代表性误差在ERA5中比在CARRA中更大,但估计在两种分析中对温度的总误差的比例相似,但在ERA5中对风速的误差更大。
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Value of the Copernicus Arctic Regional Reanalysis (CARRA) in representing near-surface temperature and wind speed in the north-east European Arctic
The representation of 2-m air temperature and 10-m wind speed in the high-resolution (with a 2.5-km grid spacing) Copernicus Arctic Regional Reanalysis (CARRA) and the coarser resolution (ca. 31-km grid spacing) global European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts fifth-generation reanalysis (ERA5) for Svalbard, northern Norway, Sweden and Finland is evaluated against observations. The largest differences between the two reanalyses are found in regions with complex terrain and coastlines, and over the sea ice for temperature in winter. In most aspects, CARRA outperforms ERA5 in its agreement with the observations, but the value added by CARRA varies with region and season. Furthermore, the added value by CARRA is seen for both parameters but is more pronounced for temperature than wind speed. CARRA is in better agreement with observations in terms of general evaluation metrics like bias and standard deviation of the errors, is more similar to the observed spatial and temporal variability and better captures local extremes. A better representation of high-impact weather like polar lows, vessel icing and warm spells during winter is also demonstrated. Finally, it is shown that a substantial part of the difference between reanalyses and observations is due to representativeness issues, that is, sub-grid variability, which cannot be represented in gridded data. This representativeness error is larger in ERA5 than in CARRA, but the fraction of the total error is estimated to be similar in the two analyses for temperature but larger in ERA5 for wind speed.
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来源期刊
Polar Research
Polar Research 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
22
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Since 1982, Polar Research has been the international, peer-reviewed journal of the Norwegian Polar Institute, Norway''s central institution for research, environmental monitoring and mapping of the polar regions. Aiming to promote the exchange of scientific knowledge about the Arctic and Antarctic across disciplinary boundaries, Polar Research serves an international community of researchers and managers. As an open-access journal, Polar Research makes its contents freely available to the general public. Original primary research papers comprise the mainstay of Polar Research. Review articles, brief research notes, letters to the editor and book reviews are also included. Special issues are published from time to time. The scope of Polar Research encompasses research in all scientific disciplines relevant to the polar regions. These include, but are not limited to, the subfields of biology, ecology, geology, oceanography, glaciology and atmospheric science. Submissions from the social sciences and those focusing on polar management and policy issues are welcome. Contributions about Antarctica are particularly encouraged.
期刊最新文献
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