长期有效需求与住宅投资:基于斯拉维超乘数的分析*

IF 1.8 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Review of Keynesian Economics Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.4337/roke.2023.01.05
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文建立了一个具有两种非产能创造自主支出的完全指定的简约斯拉菲超乘数股票流一致性模型(SSM-SFC):住宅投资和资本主义消费。我们的模型代表了一个封闭的经济,没有工人和资本主义家庭的政府部门,只有后者不受信贷约束。住宅投资的引入意味着我们的SSM-SFC模型有两种实际资产:企业的生产性资本和家庭的房地产。在我们的模型中,住宅投资增长率对房价通胀的变化做出了反应,资本主义消费是从金融财富中获得资金的。数值模拟实验表明,我们的模型符合标准Srafian超乘数增长模型的主要结果。因此,住宅投资增长率的提高意味着房地产在总房地产资产中所占份额的下降。我们的数值模拟可以再现一些风格化的事实,如主导商业周期的住宅投资和资本积累,以及非产能自主支出和产能利用率之间的顺时针模式。
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Long-run effective demand and residential investment: a Sraffian supermultiplier based analysis*
This paper builds a fully specified parsimonious Sraffian supermultiplier stock-flow consistent model (SSM-SFC) with two non-capacity-creating autonomous expenditures: residential investment and capitalist consumption. Our model represents a closed economy without a government sector with workers and capitalist households and only the latter are not credit-constrained. The introduction of residential investment implies that our SSM-SFC model has two real assets: firms’ productive capital and households’ real estate. In our model, the residential investment growth rate responds to changes in house price inflation, and capitalist consumption is financed out of financial wealth. The numerical simulation experiments show that our model adheres to the main results of the standard Sraffian supermultiplier growth model. As a particular result, an increase in the residential investment growth rate implies a decrease in real estate share in total real assets. Our numerical simulations can reproduce some stylised facts such as residential investment leading the business cycle and capital accumulation and a clockwise pattern between non-capacity creating autonomous expenditures and capacity utilisation rate.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
16
期刊介绍: The Review of Keynesian Economics (ROKE) is dedicated to the promotion of research in Keynesian economics. Not only does that include Keynesian ideas about macroeconomic theory and policy, it also extends to microeconomic and meso-economic analysis and relevant empirical and historical research. The journal provides a forum for developing and disseminating Keynesian ideas, and intends to encourage critical exchange with other macroeconomic paradigms. The journal is dedicated to the development of Keynesian theory and policy. In our view, Keynesian theory should hold a similar place in economics to that held by the theory of evolution in biology. Many individual economists still work within the Keynesian paradigm, but intellectual success demands institutional support that can leverage those individual efforts. The journal offers such support by providing a forum for developing and sharing Keynesian ideas. Not only does that include ideas about macroeconomic theory and policy, it also extends to microeconomic and meso-economic analysis and relevant empirical and historical research. We see a bright future for the Keynesian approach to macroeconomics and invite the economics profession to join us by subscribing to the journal and submitting manuscripts.
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