基于二元先验的排队模型的贝叶斯估计

Q3 Business, Management and Accounting American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences Pub Date : 2020-11-13 DOI:10.1080/01966324.2020.1835589
V. Deepthi, Joby K. Jose
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引用次数: 4

摘要

摘要本文描述了各种队列特征的贝叶斯估计,如队列参数λ和μ,以及队列性能指标,如交通强度、队列中的预期等待时间和模型的预期队列大小,使用Mckay的二元伽玛分布作为先验平方误差损失函数和熵损失函数。利用合流超几何函数和高斯超几何函数的性质,得到了队列参数和各种队列性能测度的贝叶斯估计的闭式表达式。使用不同超参数值集的模拟数据计算Bootstrap Bayes估计和可信区域。我们还应用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法,使用相同的联合先验分布计算各种队列特征的贝叶斯估计和可信区间,并将其值与bootstrap估计值进行比较。
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Bayesian Estimation of Queueing Model using Bivariate Prior
Abstract This article describes Bayes estimation of various queue characteristics such as queue parameters λ and μ, and queue performance measures like traffic intensity, expected waiting time in the queue, and expected queue size of model using Mckay’s bivariate gamma distribution as prior under squared error loss function as well as entropy loss function. Closed form expressions are obtained for the Bayes estimators of the queue parameters and various queue performance measures using the properties of confluent hyper geometric function and Gauss hyper geometric function. Bootstrap Bayes estimates and credible regions are computed using simulated data for different set of hyper parameter values. Also we apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo method and compute Bayes estimates and credible intervals of various queue characteristics using the same joint prior distribution and compare the values with bootstrap estimates.
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来源期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (all)
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
5
期刊最新文献
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