贝弗里奇曲线动态与全球危机

H. Acuña, Diego Carrasco, Martínez Carrasco, F. Caro
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摘要

本研究研究了智利1994年至2012年期间的失业率与职位空缺之间的关系,特别关注全球危机的各个阶段。从数据来看,我们观察到,由于亚洲金融危机,智利从贝弗里奇曲线向外转移,这表明劳动力供需匹配过程中存在效率损失。另一方面,由于次贷危机,曲线向内移动,这证明了匹配过程的改进。我们研究了文献中先前使用的一系列因素,目的是分解失业率的变化,并区分解释两次危机期间匹配过程效率变化的因素。研究结果表明,劳动力构成和实际工资水平是解释效率变化的主要变量。
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Dynamics of the Beveridge Curve and Global Crises
This research studies the relation between unemployment and vacancies for Chile between 1994I-2012IV with a special focus on the stages of global crises. Looking at the data, we observed that consequently to the Asian financial crisis, Chile showed an outward shift from the Beveridge Curve which indicates an efficiency loss in the matching process between labor supply and demand. On the other hand, the curve moved inwards as a result of the sub-prime crisis, a proof that supports an improvement in the matching process. We examine a series of factors previously used in the literature with the aim to decompose the changes in the unemployment rate and distinguish the factors that explained the changes in the efficiency of the matching process during both crises. The results, point out that the composition of the labor force and the real wage level were the main variables that explained the efficiency changes.
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