主权信用评级新闻对信用违约互换价差的影响

IF 1.2 Q4 BUSINESS Journal of East-West Business Pub Date : 2022-09-02 DOI:10.1080/10669868.2022.2115182
Övünç Gürsoy, Emin Avci
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文探讨了穆迪、惠誉和标准普尔三家信用评级机构的主权信用评级消息对信用违约掉期(CDS)的影响。我们使用事件研究方法分析了2005年至2018年间31个国家的CDS利差对主权信用评级新闻的反应。评级消息对CDS价差的影响取决于评级观察或展望的先前状态。结果显示,信用违约掉期价差对负面评级消息的反应显著增强。我们发现,主权评级公告对发达市场和新兴市场的影响不同。
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The Impact of Sovereign Credit Rating News on Credit Default Swap Spreads
Abstract This paper explores the impact of sovereign credit rating news from three credit rating agencies, namely Moody’s, Fitch, and Standard & Poors, on credit default swaps (CDS). We use an event study methodology to analyze how CDS spread reacts to sovereign CR (Credit Rating) rating news in 31 countries between 2005 and 2018. The effects of rating news on CDS spread are conditional on the prior status of the rating watch or outlook. The results show that CDS spreads respond significantly more toward negative rating news. We find that sovereign rating announcements have different effects in developed and emerging markets.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
26.70%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: Journal of East-West Business is a quarterly journal that deals with contemporary and emerging aspects of business studies, strategies, development, and practice as they relate to the Russian Federation, the new republics of the Commonwealth of Independent States, and Eastern/Central Europe-and business relationships with other countries of the world. The Journal of East-West Business is international in scope and treats business issues from comparative, cross-cultural, and cross-national perspectives. The journal features an Editorial Advisory Board that represents the Russian Federation, Eastern/Central European, and Baltic states in this new business arena.
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