正交回归的混合模型

Q3 Social Sciences ETS Research Report Series Pub Date : 2023-02-27 DOI:10.1002/ets2.12367
Michael Kane
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引用次数: 0

摘要

线性函数关系旨在对称,因此一般无法使用普通最小二乘法回归方程进行准确估算。正交回归(OR)模型允许 Y 和 X 都存在误差,因此可以提供这些关系的对称估计值。最成熟的正交回归模型,即变量误差(EIV)模型,假定观察到的直线周围的方差完全是由于 Y 和 X 的测量误差造成的,并且误差方差的比率是已知的。如果已知直线周围的大部分方差是由 Y 和 X 的测量误差造成的,那么 EIV 模型就能为函数关系提供无偏的最大似然估计值。但是,如果线周围的变异有很大一部分是由于自然变异造成的,而不是由于 Y 或 X 的测量误差造成的,那么测量误差方差的比率就不能很好地定义,EIV 模型也就不能直接适用。本报告的主要贡献在于开发了一个混合模型,该模型可在存在大量自然变异和大量测量误差的情况下,为线性函数关系提供可信的估计值。通过对作为执业资格考试组成部分的论文测试和客观测试之间的男女测试功能差异的分析,说明了混合模型的应用。
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A Hybrid Model for Orthogonal Regression

Linear functional relationships are intended to be symmetric and therefore cannot generally be accurately estimated using ordinary least squares regression equations. Orthogonal regression (OR) models allow for errors in both Y and X and therefore can provide symmetric estimates of these relationships. The most well-established OR model, the errors-in-variables (EIV) model, assumes that the observed scatter around the line is due entirely to errors of measurement in Y and X and that the ratio of the error variances is known. If most of the variance around the line is known to be due to the errors of measurement in Y and X, the EIV model can provide an unbiased maximum likelihood estimate for a functional relationship. However, if a substantial part of the variability around the line is due to natural variability, which is not attributable to errors of measurement in Y or X, the ratio of the measurement error variances is not well defined and the EIV model is not directly applicable. The main contribution of this report is the development of a hybrid model that provides plausible estimates for linear functional relationships in cases with substantial natural variability and substantial errors of measurement. An analysis of female and male differential test functioning between an essay test and an objective test used as parts of a licensure examination provides an illustration of the use of the hybrid model.

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来源期刊
ETS Research Report Series
ETS Research Report Series Social Sciences-Education
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
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