金融市场一体化与资本流动——来自经合组织国家的证据

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Applied Economics Quarterly Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI:10.3790/AEQ.63.1.1
T. Singh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了国内储蓄与投资之间的长期关系,并考虑了各国资本流动性和国际金融市场一体化。这项分析是针对24个经合组织国家进行的。研究发现,一些国家的国内储蓄与投资之间存在协整关系。对大多数国家来说,储蓄的斜率参数仍远高于零。支持国内储蓄和投资之间的协整表明经常账户赤字的可持续性和跨期预算约束的偿付能力。各国的资本流动程度和金融市场一体化程度各不相同。资本流动性低或中等的国家对国内储蓄的依赖,突显出需要加快国内储蓄,为资本积累提供资金,并将经常账户失衡保持在可持续的范围内。资本流动性高的国家的投资是由世界资本池提供资金的。资本流动性高的国家主要关注的是易受国际投资者投机性(系统性或随机性)预期(理性或非理性)的影响,经常账户赤字的可持续性,外汇储备的充分性以及金融体系的稳定性。
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Financial Market Integration and the Mobility of Capital: Evidence from the OECD Countries
This study examines the long-run relationship between domestic saving and investment and takes a country-by-country account of the mobility of capital and integration of international financial markets. The analysis is carried out for a comprehensive set of 24 OECD countries. The study finds support for the cointegrating relationship between domestic saving and investment for a number of countries. The slope parameter of saving remains well above zero for most countries. The support for cointegration between domestic saving and investment suggests the sustainability of current account deficits and the solvency of intertemporal budget constraint. The degree of capital mobility and the integration of financial markets vary across countries. The reliance on domestic saving in the countries with low to moderate mobility of capital underlines the need to accelerate domestic saving to finance the accumulation of capital and keep the current account imbalances in sustainable bounds. The investment in the countries with high mobility of capital is financed by a world pool of capital. The major concerns for the countries with high mobility of capital are the vulnerability to the speculative (systematic or stochastic) expectations (rational or irrational) of international investors, sustainability of current account deficits, adequacy of foreign exchange reserves, and the stability of the financial system.
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来源期刊
Applied Economics Quarterly
Applied Economics Quarterly Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
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