2019年的工人阶级保守派选民:来自英格兰北部山谷的声音

IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE British Politics Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-05-20 DOI:10.1057/s41293-021-00177-5
Gavin Hart
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文重点介绍了对英格兰北部选区工人阶级保守党选民选举决策过程的定性研究结果。通过特别关注他们在 2019 年选举中的主要关注点,本文对现有的定量研究进行了扩展。调查研究强调,对领导力的担忧和英国脱欧是促使选民从工党转向保守党的主要因素。本文认为,领导力、英国脱欧和经济管理密切相关,党的领导人是这些参与者更广泛思考的中心。在这些讨论中,对政党领导人的看法是最重要的,这显然影响了受访者对一系列政治问题的思考。此外,访谈还询问了什么可能会影响参与者未来的选举选择。在这方面,数据表明,受访者对保守党的感情是有限的、有条件的,并希望看到工党朝着受访者认为的中间派意识形态立场发展。最后一部分探讨了这些发现对各主要政党在未来竞选中的意义。研究认为,由于约翰逊的沟通能力,他的总统重点迄今为止一直很有效,但政府要想在未来留住这些选民的忠诚度,在本届议会中将面临困难重重的局面。
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Working-class conservative voters in 2019: voices from a valley in northern England.

This paper highlights the findings from qualitative research into the electoral decision-making processes of working-class Conservative voters from a constituency in northern England. Through focussing specifically upon their primary concerns during the 2019 election, the piece expands upon existing quantitative research. Survey studies have highlighted leadership concerns and Brexit as the primary factors that have driven voters away from Labour and towards the Conservative Party. It is argued here that leadership, Brexit, and economic management were closely intertwined, with party leaders at the centre of broader thinking for these participants. Perceptions of the party leaders were foremost in these deliberations and this has clearly impacted upon the interviewees' thinking on a range of political matters. Additionally, the interviews asked what might influence the participants' future electoral choices. Here, the data suggest a sense of limited, qualified attachment to the Conservative Party and a desire to see the Labour Party move towards what the respondents perceive as a centrist ideological position. The final section considers what these findings may mean for the major parties in future electoral contests. It is suggested that the presidential focus has worked for Johnson so far due to his abilities as a communicator, but the government will have a difficult hill to climb in this parliament if they are to retain the loyalty of these voters in future.

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来源期刊
British Politics
British Politics POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
9.10%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: British Politics offers the only forum explicitly designed to promote research in British political studies, and seeks to provide a counterweight to the growing fragmentation of this field during recent years. To this end, the journal aims to promote a more holistic understanding of British politics by encouraging a closer integration between theoretical and empirical research, between historical and contemporary analyses, and by fostering a conception of British politics as a broad and multi-disciplinary field of study. This incorporates a range of sub-fields, including psephology, policy analysis, regional studies, comparative politics, institutional analysis, political theory, political economy, historical analysis, cultural studies and social policy. While recognising the validity and the importance of research into specific aspects of British politics, the journal takes it to be a guiding principle that such research is more useful, and indeed meaningful, if it is related to the field of British politics in a broader and fuller sense. The scope of the journal will therefore be broad, incorporating a range of research papers and review articles from all theoretical perspectives, and on all aspects of British politics, including policy developments, institutional change and political behaviour. Priority will, however, be given to contributions which link contemporary developments in British politics to theoretical and/or historical analyses. The aim is as much to encourage the development of empirical research that is theoretically rigorous and informed, as it is to encourage the empirical application of theoretical work (or at least to encourage theorists to explicitly signify how their work could be applied in an empirical manner).
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