集成或固定噪声部件的多电平偏移测试

Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI:10.1002/jae.2977
Josep Lluís Carrion-i-Silvestre, María Dolores Gadea
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了与时间序列的积分顺序无关的多电平漂移的检测和估计问题。我们表明,可以将Bai-Perron方法(1998)扩展到I(1)和NI(1)非平稳情况,以便设计一个统一的框架,以鲁棒的方式测试多水平移位的存在。提出的统计的有限样本性能进行,建立与文献中其他现有方法的比较。本文说明了使用时间序列对实际汇率进行统计的实现,这些时间序列要么覆盖很长一段时间,要么提供全球分析。多水平转移的稳健检测对于定义用于检验购买力平价假设的统计方法非常重要。
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Testing for multiple level shifts with an integrated or stationary noise component

The paper analyzes the detection and estimation of multiple level shifts regardless of the order of integration of the time series. We show that it is possible to extend the Bai-Perron methodology (1998) to the I(1) and NI(1) nonstationary cases so that a unified framework to test for the presence of multiple level shifts in a robust way is designed. The finite sample performance of the proposed statistics is carried out, establishing a comparison with other existing approaches in the literature. The paper illustrates the implementation of the statistics focusing on the real exchange rate with time series that either cover a long time period or provide a worldwide analysis. Robust detection of multiple level shifts is of great importance to define the statistical approach that is used to test the purchasing power parity hypothesis.

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