军事经济与经济增长:欧亚经济转型中的双向效应

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies Pub Date : 2022-01-11 DOI:10.1177/09749101211067296
K. Rudy
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引用次数: 4

摘要

最近,欧亚转型经济体中军事经济的崛起令人担忧,这一趋势背后的原因及其经济后果引起了人们的关注。本文以1991年至2019年26个欧亚国家“俄罗斯+10”和“15个中东欧国家”两个亚组的证据为基础,重点研究了该地区军事经济概况,并展示了军事经济指标与经济增长之间双向关系的面板数据估计结果。研究表明,在“俄罗斯+10”中,军费与GDP和政府支出之比对经济增长有正向影响,经济增长对这两个指标有负向影响。此外,在“俄罗斯+10”中,武装力量与劳动力的比例与经济增长之间存在正的双向关系。对于“15个中东欧”和所有欧亚国家的样本,并不总是有统计上显著的结果,以提供明确的结论军费开支对GDP和预算开支和经济增长之间的双向影响。从武装力量到劳动力,对欧亚大陆和中东欧15国的经济增长产生了积极影响。
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Military Economy and Economic Growth: Bidirectional Effects in Transition Economies of Eurasia
Recently, the worrisome rise of military economy in Eurasian transition economies has raised concerns on what is behind this trend and what are its economic consequences. Based on the evidence from 26 Eurasian countries selected into two subgroups “Russia+10” and “15 Central and Eastern European” (CEE) countries over the period from 1991 to 2019, this article focuses on the military economy overview in this region and demonstrates the result of panel data estimations of bidirectional relation between military economy indicators and economic growth. The study shows that in “Russia+10,” military expenditures to GDP and to government spending have a positive effect on growth, and economic growth has a negative influence on these two indicators. Moreover, armed forces to labor forces have a positive bidirectional relation with economic growth in “Russia+10.” For the samples of “15 CEE” and all Eurasian countries, there are not always statistically significant results to offer clear conclusion on bidirectional effects between military expenditures to GDP and to budget expenses and economic growth. Armed forces to labor forces show a positive effect on growth in Eurasia and “15 CEE” countries.
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来源期刊
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies is a peer-reviewed journal. The aim of the journal is to provide an international platform for knowledge sharing, discussion and networking on the various aspects related to emerging market economies through publications of original research. It aims to make available basic reference material for policy-makers, business executives and researchers interested in issues of fundamental importance to the economic prospects and performance of emerging market economies. The topics for discussion are related to the following general categories: D. Microeconomics E. Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics F. International Economics G. Financial Economics H. Public Economics I. Health, Education, and Welfare J. Labor and Demographic Economics L. Industrial Organization O. Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth Q. Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics R. Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics Additionally, the journal would be most interested to publish topics related to Global Financial Crisis and the Impact on Emerging Market Economies Economic Development and Inclusive Growth Climate Change and Energy Infrastructure Development and Public Private Partnerships Capital Flows to and from Emerging Market Economies Regional Cooperation Trade and Investment and Development of National and Regional Financial Markets The Belt and Road Initiative.
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