中国“一带一路”倡议倡议在南亚及其他地区的启示、风险与机遇

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS IPRI Journal Pub Date : 2020-12-31 DOI:10.31945/iprij.20002
Murad Ali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2013年正式提出以来,中国的跨大陆“一带一路”倡议(BRI)一直受到世界各地媒体、政策智库和学术界的高度关注。虽然一些国家将中国视为“一带一路”倡议下的主要发展伙伴,但另一些国家对北京日益上升的作用感到担忧。根据政策文件、国家和国际组织的报告以及有关该主题的现有文献,本文旨在揭示“一带一路”的两个主要方面;“一带一路”倡议对南亚主要国家的社会经济前景和地缘政治影响,中国在这些国家正成为重要的发展参与者。二是欧洲、非洲和中亚主要大国和行为体的反应,如南亚主要国家巴基斯坦和印度。他们的主要期望和保留意见也令人主要关切。本文认为,中国在“一带一路”倡议下对这些地区的空前投资不仅具有巨大的社会经济潜力,而且还具有地缘政治和安全影响(就像南亚的巴基斯坦-印度关系一样)。文章认为,为了通过参与国贸易和互联互通的新前景挖掘“一带一路”的真正潜力,中国应与对“一带一路”持敌对态度的国家加强合作,并采取措施确保“一带一路”的国际规范和包容性。
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China’s Belt and Road Initiative in South Asia and beyond: Apprehensions, Risks and Opportunities
Since its official launching in 2013, China’s transcontinental Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has remained under significant focus in media, policy think-tanks and academia around the world. While some countries view China as a major development partner under the BRI, others are apprehensive of the rising role of Beijing. Drawing on policy documents, reports of national and international organizations and available literature on the subject, this paper aims at unpacking two main aspects of the BRI; the socio-economic prospects as well as geopolitical implications of the BRI for major South Asian countries where China is emerging as an important development actor. Second, response of the major global powers and actors in Europe, Africa and Central Asia, such as, key South Asian countries Pakistan and India. Their key expectations as well as reservations are also of major concern. The paper argues that unprecedented Chinese investment under the BRI in these regions has not only huge socio-economic potentials but it also has geopolitical and security implications (as in the case of Pakistan-India relations in South Asia). The paper concludes that for harvesting true potential of the BRI through new vistas of trade and connectivity for participating nations, China should work more closely with countries having antagonistic stance towards the BRI and should take measures to ensure international norms and inclusiveness of the initiative.
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IPRI Journal
IPRI Journal INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
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