经济一体化与经济增长的关系:以越南为例

IF 2 0 ECONOMICS Annals of Financial Economics Pub Date : 2019-08-01 DOI:10.1142/S2010495219500143
Ha Nguyen, Ngoc Hoang Bui, D. Vo
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引用次数: 15

摘要

本文使用强大的定量方法,特别是自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和格兰杰因果检验,检验了越南经济一体化与增长联系之间的关系。本研究重点研究了三种类型的经济一体化,包括整体一体化、金融一体化和贸易一体化,它们影响了越南1986年至2015年的经济增长。本研究的主要发现是,当三种类型的经济一体化一起考虑时,一体化对经济增长有积极的影响。此外,整体一体化与金融一体化、贸易一体化与金融一体化之间存在因果关系。因此,金融一体化对越南的经济增长绝对重要。基于这些发现,越南政府应该仔细概述社会经济发展战略,以保持政治稳定,并从经济一体化和全球化中获益。
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THE NEXUS BETWEEN ECONOMIC INTEGRATION AND GROWTH: APPLICATION TO VIETNAM
The paper examines the relationship between the economic integration and growth nexus in Vietnam using powerful quantitative methods, specifically the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and the Granger causality test. The study focuses on three types of economic integration, including overall integration, financial integration and trade integration, which affected economic growth in Vietnam from 1986 to 2015. The key finding from this study is that when three types of economic integration are considered together, integration provides positive impacts on economic growth. In addition, causal relationship exists between overall integration and financial integration, and between trade integration and financial integration. As such, financial integration is absolutely important to economic growth in Vietnam. On the grounds of these findings, the Vietnamese government should carefully outline socio-economic development strategies to maintain political stability and to derive benefits from economic integration and globalization.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
55.00%
发文量
30
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