1990-2014年拉丁美洲外国直接投资和国际收支受限增长模式

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS PSL Quarterly Review Pub Date : 2019-11-11 DOI:10.13133/2037-3643_72.290_3
Douglas Alencar, Eduardo Strachman, L. Barbosa, C. Puty
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项工作的目的是确定1990年至2014年拉丁美洲的外国直接投资与长期增长之间是否存在关系。一些作者质疑,除了经常账户结果外,外国直接投资和其他资本流动是否会限制经济增长。如果外国直接投资和其他资本流动被阻止,并且伴随着前一时期外国直接投资产生的资本外流,那么就有可能出现国际收支对经济增长的制约。为了验证这一假设,我们对Thirlwall和Hussain模型进行了轻微修正,并对巴西、墨西哥和阿根廷的情况采用了McCombie检验。我们发现,从长远来看,初级收入汇款对外国直接投资的负面影响,甚至通过外国直接投资流入的资本,可能会抑制增长。JEL代码:E12
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On foreign direct investments and the balance of payments constrained growth model in Latin America, 1990-2014
The aim of this work is to identify whether there was a relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and long-term growth in Latin America from 1990 to 2014. Some authors have questioned whether FDI and other capital flows, besides current account results, could constrain economic growth. If FDI and other capital flows are staunched and this is accompanied by capital outflows originated from FDI in previous periods, then it would be possible to experience a balance of payments constraint to economic growth. To test this hypothesis, we slightly amend the Thirlwall and Hussain model and employ the McCombie test for the cases of Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina. We find that the negative effect of primary income remittances on FDI, and even capital inflows through FDI, may curbs growth in the long run. JEL codes : E12
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
0
审稿时长
20 weeks
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