共同气藏问题:South Pars-North Dome气田

Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Iranian Economic Review Pub Date : 2021-10-12 DOI:10.22059/IER.2021.83919
Jalal Dehnavi, Y. Egorov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是调查伊朗和卡塔尔联合开发共同气藏(南帕尔斯-北穹窿,世界上最大的天然气储层)可能产生的效率问题。这个问题与私人动机和共同目标之间的差异有关。对于不可再生资源,可能存在帕累托最优联合开采路径,但在现实中不太可能出现。我们研究了伊朗和卡塔尔对最优开采路径的激励差异,发现从天然气资源开采最优动力学的角度来看,他们的联合行为可能是次优的。这一方面与财富的差异有关,另一方面与对伊朗的制裁有关。迄今为止,制裁一直不允许伊朗自由参与世界市场。考虑到未来俄罗斯北部气田的天然气开采成本可能会增加,伊朗天然气在世界市场上的最佳存在的延迟可能会导致各个气田的开发顺序不理想,这将意味着在俄罗斯投资的盈利能力和未来世界天然气价格的上涨。
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Common Pool Problem: South Pars-North Dome Gas Field
The aim of this paper is to investigate possible problems of efficiency arising from the joint exploitation of the common gas pool (South Pars - North Dome, the largest natural gas reservoir in the world) by Iran and Qatar. The problem is related to the difference between private incentives and common goals. In the case of non-renewable resources, a Pareto-optimal joint extraction path could exist, but it is unlikely to occur in reality. We studied the difference in incentives for an optimal exploitation path for Iran and Qatar and found that their joint behavior was likely suboptimal from the perspective of the optimal dynamics of gas resource exploitation. In part, this is related to the difference in wealth, and in part to the sanctions against Iran, which have so far not allowed Iran to participate freely in the world market. Considering that the cost of future gas extraction in Russia's northern fields is likely to increase, a delay in the optimal presence of Iranian gas on the world market may lead to a suboptimal sequence of exploitation of various gas fields, which would mean both problems for the profitability of investments in Russia and higher world prices for natural gas in the future.
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来源期刊
Iranian Economic Review
Iranian Economic Review Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
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0
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