劳动力市场的挑战:会有“反乌托邦”风险吗?

L. Cismaș, Cornelia Dumitru, T. Negrut
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要当前的劳动力市场正处于十字路口:一方面,技术压力和福利引发了挑战,旨在实现更绿色、更可持续和更有弹性的经济增长,另一方面,当前的制度框架产生了变化和紧张局势,这表明在缓解该市场明显的“去社会化”方面出现了延误。2019-2021年的疫情悖论强调了几个脆弱性,特别是经济制度性质的脆弱性。传统的理论似乎并不令人满意,而非正统的方法则面临着犹豫。本文件旨在通过提出一种将传统统计数据与较少使用的制度框架相结合的混合方法,简要分析劳动力市场在不久的将来面临的挑战。这种方法是由新劳动力市场所需的结构和认知特征所证实和构建的。它提出了一种可能的方式来考虑绿色协议的目标、新冠疫情和欧盟27国附近最近的冲突所突显的脆弱性。所有这些发展都给几个社会经济类别带来了变化,使其中大多数人处于弱势。“必要”和“非必要”经济活动、平台工作和零工经济之间的划分表明,人力、社会和智力这三类无形资本的相关性增加。如果要在不久的将来避免严重的经济和社会影响,这将需要一个综合的视角。我们提出的模型旨在表明,通过考虑人力、社会和知识资本,如何在劳动力市场效率和效力方面制定更好的政策。
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Labour Market Challenges: Will There Be “Dystopian” Risks?
Abstract The current labour market is at a crossroads: on one hand, there are challenges triggered by technological pressures and perks, aiming at a greener, more sustainable and resilient economic growth, and on the other hand, there are the changes and tensions generated by the current institutional frameworks, that show delays in mitigating the apparent “de-socialising” of this market. The pandemic paradox of 2019-2021 has emphasized several vulnerabilities particularly of economic-institutional nature. Traditional theories seem unsatisfactory while unorthodox approaches are faced with hesitancy. The present paper intends to present a brief analysis of labour market’s challenges in the immediate future by proposing a mixed approach combining traditional statistical-data with a less employed institutional framework. The approach is substantiated and constructed by the structural and cognitive features that the new labour market would require. It suggests a possible way for considering the aims of the Green Deal, the vulnerabilities highlighted by the pandemic and by the recent conflict in the immediate proximity of the EU-27. All these developments bring about changes for several socio-economic categories, rendering most of them vulnerable. The split between “essential” and “non-essential” economic activities, platform work and the gig economy hint to increased relevance of the three types of intangible capital: human, social and intellectual. This will require an integrating perspective, if severe economic and social effects are to be avoided in the immediate future. The model we propose aims to show how, by taking account of the human, social and intellectual capital, better policies can be developed as regards labour market efficiency and efficacy.
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