爱尔兰农业保险的实证需求:分位数回归方法

IF 1.5 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Agricultural Finance Review Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI:10.1108/afr-04-2022-0051
Jason Loughrey, H. Vidyaratne
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是分析爱尔兰农场/农民特征与无补贴农场保险费支出之间的关系。农业保险支出分布广泛,了解个体因素对不同保费水平需求的影响程度非常重要。设计/方法/方法采用分位数回归方法和来自Teagasc国家农场调查的农场会计数据来模拟爱尔兰农场/农民特征与农场保险需求之间的关系。发现资产价值(牲畜、建筑物和机械)与保险总支出呈正相关。森林面积和作物面积与农业保险支出均呈显著相关,且对中上分布的影响更大。农民收入与农民年龄的交互作用与保险支出呈正相关,表明农民收入保护的重要性。研究的局限性/意义本研究主要关注实质性风险的保险,这些风险可能威胁到农场业务的资产基础和延续。未来的研究可以将与农场安全和农民健康有关的问题与农场企业的经济生存研究结合起来。实际意义爱尔兰农民采用无补贴农业保险作为风险管理工具。这种情况与比利时、丹麦、德国、瑞典等其他欧盟成员国有关。研究结果可用于告知利益相关者和政策制定者不同因素对保险支出的相对影响。原创性/价值以前的研究通常集中在农场/农民特征与保险需求之间的线性关系上,而没有考虑到规模分布的可变性。本研究基于分位数回归方法,其中农场/农民特征与农场保险支出之间的关联可以在分布的不同点进行评估。
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The empirical demand for farm insurance in Ireland: a quantile regression approach
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to analyse the association between farm/farmer characteristics and unsubsidized farm insurance premium expenditure in Ireland. The distribution of farm insurance expenditures is wide, and it is important to understand the extent to which individual factors influence demand for different levels of insurance premium.Design/methodology/approachThe quantile regression approach and farm accountancy data from the Teagasc National Farm Survey are used to model the association between farm/farmer characteristics and farm insurance demand in Ireland.FindingsAsset values (livestock, buildings and machinery) are positively associated with total insurance expenditure. Both forestry area and crop area are significantly associated with farm insurance expenditure with a stronger influence on the middle and upper part of the distribution. The interaction between farm income and farmer age is positively associated with insurance expenditure pointing to the importance of farm income protection.Research limitations/implicationsThe research is mainly concerned with insuring against substantive risks, which are capable of threatening the asset base and continuation of the farm business. Future research can integrate questions in relation to farm safety and farmer health with research on the economic survival of the farm business.Practical implicationsFarmers in Ireland adopt unsubsidized farm insurance as a risk management tool. This situation is relevant to other EU member states including Belgium, Denmark, Germany and Sweden. The findings can be used to inform stakeholders and policymakers about the relative impact of different factors on insurance expenditure.Originality/valuePrevious research has typically focused on the linear relationship between farm/farmer characteristics and insurance demand without accounting for variability across the size distribution. This research is based on the quantile regression approach where the association between farm/farmer characteristics and farm insurance expenditure can be assessed at different points of the distribution.
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来源期刊
Agricultural Finance Review
Agricultural Finance Review AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
18.80%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: Agricultural Finance Review provides a rigorous forum for the publication of theory and empirical work related solely to issues in agricultural and agribusiness finance. Contributions come from academic and industry experts across the world and address a wide range of topics including: Agricultural finance, Agricultural policy related to agricultural finance and risk issues, Agricultural lending and credit issues, Farm credit, Businesses and financial risks affecting agriculture and agribusiness, Agricultural policies affecting farm or agribusiness risks and profitability, Risk management strategies including the use of futures and options, Rural credit in developing economies, Microfinance and microcredit applied to agriculture and rural development, Financial efficiency, Agriculture insurance and reinsurance. Agricultural Finance Review is committed to research addressing (1) factors affecting or influencing the financing of agriculture and agribusiness in both developed and developing nations; (2) the broadest aspect of risk assessment and risk management strategies affecting agriculture; and (3) government policies affecting farm profitability, liquidity, and access to credit.
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Multi-step commodity forecasts using deep learning Regional analysis of agricultural bank liquidity Data-driven determination of plant growth stages for improved weather index insurance design Utilizing FSA conservation loan programs to support farm conservation activities Evaluation of alternative farm safety net program combination strategies
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