新冠肺炎对欧洲经济和货币联盟的挑战:在不断变化的宏观经济环境中的体制应对、增长战略和未来前景

G. De Angelis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本期特刊旨在回答三个问题:欧洲经济治理如何适应新冠肺炎危机?成员国的经济政策如何适应当前的危机并适应欧洲的反应?新冠肺炎健康和经济危机预计将如何影响其增长政策和改革轨迹?为了回答这些问题,特刊旨在评估新冠肺炎对欧元区适应和调整政治经济核心要素的影响。欧元区危机十年后,新冠肺炎引发的危机改变了欧洲经济和货币联盟的改革进程,促使欧洲联盟经济和货币同盟(EMU)出现新一波政策和体制变革。可能最重要的变化是共同努力,以比以前更对称、更相互支持的方式抵御新冠肺炎19引发的集体系统性风险。政策回应不仅取决于几个工具,这些工具已经是不同欧洲机构(主要是欧盟委员会和欧洲央行)工具箱的一部分,但也通过成员国的协调努力,通过共同债券排放(这一工具当时一直受到严厉和未解决的争议)重新启动投资水平,同时暂时放弃降低债务水平。正如Sebastian Dullien在其贡献中有效指出的那样,新旧欧元区改革都促成了新冠肺炎危机,迄今为止,这场危机的结果与2009年欧元区危机不同,也更公平。事实如此,在某种程度上,建立的机制(下一代欧盟)针对的国家比例大致相当于危机的估计负面影响(Watzka和Watt 2020)。此外,欧洲央行的流行病紧急购买计划也承认资本金的应用同样“灵活”。新冠疫情引发的改革提出了两类问题。第一个问题是它们对欧洲货币联盟体制结构的长期影响。第二个是指成员国在危机长期后果背景下的宏观经济轨迹
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COVID-19 Challenges to the European Economic and Monetary Union: Institutional Responses, Growth Strategies, and Future Prospects in a Changing Macroeconomic Environment—Introduction
This special issue aims to answer three questions: How is European economic governance adapting to the COVID-19 crisis? How are member states’ economic policies adjusting to the current crisis and adapting to the European response? How is the COVID-19 health and economic crisis expected to impact their growth policies and reform trajectories? Seeking to answer these questions, the special issue aims to assess the impact of COVID-19 on the core elements of the political economy of adaptation and adjustment in the eurozone. One decade after the eurozone crisis, the COVID-19 induced crisis has revamped the reform process in the European Economic and Monetary Union, prompting a new wave of policy and institutional changes in the Economic and Monetary Union of the European Union (EMU). The perhaps most significant change has consisted in the common effort to fend off the COVID19-induced collective, systemic risks in a more symmetric and mutually supportive way than had happened previously. The policy response rested not only on several tools that were already part of the toolboxes that different European institutions, primarily the Commission and the European Central Bank (ECB), had at their disposal but also through the Member States’ coordinated effort to relaunch investment levels through common bonds emissions (an instrument that had been up to then subject to harsh and unresolved controversies) while momentarily steering away from debt levels reduction. As Sebastian Dullien effectively points out in his contribution, old and new eurozone reforms have all contributed to the COVID-19 crisis having thus far a different, and more equitable, outcome than the 2009 eurozone crisis. This is so, to the extent that the instituted facility (The Next-generation EU) has targeted countries in a proportion roughly corresponding to the estimated negative impact of the crisis (Watzka and Watt 2020). Additionally, the ECB’s Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme admits for an equally “flexible” application of the capital key. The COVID-19-induced reforms raise two kinds of questions. The first refers to their longterm consequences for the EMU institutional architecture. The second refers to the Member States’ macroeconomic trajectories against the background of the crisis’ long-term consequences
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8.30%
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