COVID - 19对南非劳动力市场和贫困的影响

IF 1.6 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI:10.1111/saje.12356

Ihsaan Bassier, Joshua Budlender, Rocco Zizzamia, Ronak Jain

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们估计了与COVID - 19相关的南非就业和贫困影响。我们观察到，在2020年2月至4月期间，活跃就业人数下降了40%，其中一半是由解雇而不是休假组成的。最初，弱势群体受到劳动力市场冲击的影响不成比例。利用数据集的面板维度，并将失业人员的锁定收入与重新加权的就业保留人员进行比较，我们估计，大约15%-35%的失业人员在4月份陷入贫困。我们发现，有证据表明，到6月份，劳动力市场出现了有限的复苏，贫困现象有所减少，部分原因是扩大了紧急社会援助。

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The labour market and poverty impacts of COVID‐19 in South Africa

We estimate COVID‐19‐related employment and poverty impacts in South Africa. We observe a 40% decline in active employment between February and April 2020, half of which was composed of job terminations rather than furloughs. Initially, vulnerable groups were disproportionately affected by the labour market shock. Exploiting the dataset's panel dimension and comparing lockdown incomes of job losers to reweighted job retainers, we estimate that approximately 15%–35% of job losers fell into poverty in April. We find evidence of a limited recovery in the labour market and a decrease in poverty by June, in part attributable to expanded emergency social assistance.

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来源期刊

SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The South African Journal of Economics (SAJE) has a long and distinguished history, ranking amongst the oldest generalist journals in economics. In terms of editorial focus, the journal remains a generalist journal covering all fields in economics, but with a particular focus on developmental and African contexts. Toward this end, the editorial policy of the SAJE emphasizes scholarly work on developing countries, with African and Southern African development challenges receiving particular attention. While the SAJE remains a generalist journal, it encourages empirical work on developing and African economies. Importantly the focus is on both theoretical developments and methodological innovations that reflect developing country and African contexts and the policy challenges they pose. The objective of the journal is to be the premier vehicle for the publication of the most innovative work on development country and particularly African economic problems. It aims to be the target journal of choice not only for scholars located in Southern Africa, but of any scholar interested in the analysis of development challenges and their African applications. Clear theoretical foundations to work published should be a hallmark of the journal, and innovation in both theory and empirics appropriate to developing country and the African contexts are encouraged. In terms of submissions, the journal invites submissions primarily of original research articles, as well as survey articles and book reviews relevant to its context. In the case of both survey articles and book reviews, authors should note that a key minimum requirement is a critical reflection on the broader context of the existing literature.