在信贷对经济增长的影响中,货币政策机制是否重要?

IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI:10.1111/infi.12411
Amaia Altuzarra, Ricardo Bustillo, Carlos Rodríguez
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究通过以下方式揭示了金融与增长之间的联系:(i)仔细考虑了从实证文献中吸取的教训,(ii)延长了分析期限,将全球金融危机(GFC)之后的年份包括在内,(iii)将货币政策制度作为这一关系的伴随因素,以及(iv)运行不同的规范并遵循稳健的计量经济学方法。我们发现,在20世纪90年代末至21世纪初期间,信贷融资的积极影响消失了,这与大多数国家达到高水平的银行信贷和全球金融危机同时发生。如果使用倒u形规范来捕捉金融与增长之间的关系,也可以观察到这一发现。在货币政策机制方面,研究结果表明,通货膨胀目标制策略对经济增长没有积极影响。
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Does the monetary policy regime matter in the effect of credit on growth?

This study sheds light on the finance–growth link by (i) carefully taking into account the lessons learned from the empirical literature, (ii) extending the period of analysis to include the years following the global financial crisis (GFC), (iii) adding the monetary-policy regime as a concomitant factor in this relation, and (iv) running different specifications and following a robust econometric approach. We find that the positive effect of finance via credit vanishes between the end of the 1990s and the beginning of the 2000s, coinciding with most countries reaching a high level of bank credit and with the GFC. This finding is also observed if an inverted U-shaped specification is used to capture the relation between finance and growth. As for the monetary-policy regime, the results reveal that the inflation-targeting strategy does not exert a positive influence on economic growth.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
8.30%
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0
期刊介绍: International Finance is a highly selective ISI-accredited journal featuring literate and policy-relevant analysis in macroeconomics and finance. Specific areas of focus include: · Exchange rates · Monetary policy · Political economy · Financial markets · Corporate finance The journal''s readership extends well beyond academia into national treasuries and corporate treasuries, central banks and investment banks, and major international organizations. International Finance publishes lucid, policy-relevant writing in macroeconomics and finance backed by rigorous theory and empirical analysis. In addition to the core double-refereed articles, the journal publishes non-refereed themed book reviews by invited authors and commentary pieces by major policy figures. The editor delivers the vast majority of first-round decisions within three months.
期刊最新文献
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