具有高斯漂移的金融市场中周期性到达专家意见的扩散近似

IF 0.5 4区 数学 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Stochastic Models Pub Date : 2022-08-15 DOI:10.1080/15326349.2022.2100423
Jörn Sass, Dorothee Westphal, R. Wunderlich
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要在本文中,我们研究了一个金融市场,其中股票回报取决于不可观测的高斯漂移过程。投资者从收益观察和离散时间专家意见中获得关于这种漂移的信息,作为外部信息来源。对隐藏漂移过程的估计是基于滤波技术的。我们的重点是高频专家定期提供他们对漂移的看法,方差随到达频率线性增长。后一个条件保证每次传递的信息是有限的。滤波器在到达频率趋于无穷大时的渐近行为由极限定理描述。这些状态表明,从观察离散时间专家意见获得的信息与从观察某个扩散过程获得的信息渐近相同。我们应用滤波器的这些扩散近似来导出具有对数效用和幂效用的效用最大化问题的简化近似解。
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Diffusion approximations for periodically arriving expert opinions in a financial market with Gaussian drift
Abstract In this paper we study a financial market in which stock returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. Investors obtain information on that drift from return observations and discrete-time expert opinions as an external source of information. Estimates of the hidden drift process are based on filtering techniques. Our focus is the case of high-frequency experts periodically providing their views on the drift with variances growing linearly with the arrival frequency. The latter condition guarantees that the delivered information per time is limited. The asymptotic behavior of the filter as the arrival frequency tends to infinity is described by limit theorems. These state that the information obtained from observing the discrete-time expert opinions is asymptotically the same as that from observing a certain diffusion process. We apply these diffusion approximations of the filter for deriving simplified approximate solutions of utility maximization problems with logarithmic and power utility.
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来源期刊
Stochastic Models
Stochastic Models 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
42
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Stochastic Models publishes papers discussing the theory and applications of probability as they arise in the modeling of phenomena in the natural sciences, social sciences and technology. It presents novel contributions to mathematical theory, using structural, analytical, algorithmic or experimental approaches. In an interdisciplinary context, it discusses practical applications of stochastic models to diverse areas such as biology, computer science, telecommunications modeling, inventories and dams, reliability, storage, queueing theory, mathematical finance and operations research.
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