儿童的感知和冒险

Q3 Social Sciences Decyzje Pub Date : 2017-06-15 DOI:10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.84
Katarzyna Gawryluk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究调查了参与者的年龄如何影响对概率和风险决策的主观判断。140名年龄在6-22岁之间的人参加了这项研究。结果显示,6-7岁的孩子无法区分概率。只有11-13岁的孩子似乎能分辨出概率的变化,尽管只是在收益领域的彩票中。所有对概率的判断在儿童和成人中都被严重高估了。研究还表明,年龄会影响冒险行为。成年人对收益的厌恶程度高于对损失的厌恶程度,而儿童对损失的厌恶程度更高。由于最小的孩子不了解概率的概念,他们的选择对概率的变化不敏感,因此对期望值的变化也不敏感。最小的孩子做出的风险选择与得失大小或概率无关,而9-10岁的孩子的选择只受得失大小的影响。在11-13岁的青少年和成人中,风险选择受得失大小和概率及其组合(期望值)的影响。
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Percepcja i podejmowanie ryzyka u dzieci
The research investigates how participants’ age infl uences the subjective judgements of probability and risky decisions making. 140 people aged 6-22 participated in the study. The results show that 6-7 year-olds were unable to differentiate between probabilities. Only 11-13 years old children appeared to distinguish the variation in probabilities, although only in lotteries in the domain of gains. All the judgements of probabilities were strongly overestimated both in children and adults. The research also shows that age infl uences risk taking. Adults were more risk averse in the domain of gains than losses, while children were more risk averse for losses. Due to the fact that the youngest children did not understand the very concept of probability, their choices were not sensitive to the changes in the probability, and therefore also to the changes of the expected values. Risky choices made by the youngest children were independent from the size of gains/losses or probability, while the choices of 9-10 year-olds were affected only by the size of gains/losses. Among 11-13 yearolds and adults the risky choices were infl uenced by both size of gain/loss and the probability as well as their combination (expected value).
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来源期刊
Decyzje
Decyzje Social Sciences-Law
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审稿时长
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