访问津巴布韦Chirumhanzu区农村家庭的季节性天气预报和干旱预测信息

IF 1.3 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Jamba-Journal of Disaster Risk Studies Pub Date : 2019-10-07 DOI:10.4102/jamba.v11i1.777
M. S. Grey
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引用次数: 7

摘要

通过媒体来源和当地知识进行的季节性天气预报和干旱危害预测有助于了解预警系统和农村家庭首选的来源信息。本文重点调查了家庭获得天气预报和干旱危害预测信息的情况,以此作为预警,以降低干旱对生计活动的风险。这项研究在Chirumhanzu区进行,数据收集方法包括217项家庭调查、6次焦点小组讨论、关键信息提供者访谈和文件审查。研究发现,研究地区的大多数家庭都可以获得季节性天气预报信息(科学),几乎一半的受访者通过无线电收到这些信息。然而,季节性天气预报加剧了气候风险的脆弱性,一些家庭认为这些预报不可靠、不准确且不容易理解。在这方面,一些家庭利用土著知识向他们介绍即将到来的雨季和干旱预测的情况。土著知识的使用取决于个人阅读和解码季节性天气预报和干旱预测的自然指标的能力。土著知识对气候科学很有价值,因为它通过突出气候科学测量的元素,在更大的空间尺度上增强了观测和解释,具有相当大的时间深度。科学的天气信息和本土知识对于季节性天气预报和干旱预测都很重要,尤其是在农村地区,如果及时使用和提供给家庭,它们是相辅相成的。
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Accessing seasonal weather forecasts and drought prediction information for rural households in Chirumhanzu district, Zimbabwe
Seasonal weather forecasts and drought hazard prediction through media sources and indigenous knowledge help provide an understanding of early warning systems and the preferred source information by rural households. This article focuses on the investigation of households’ access to weather forecasts and drought hazard prediction information as early warning to reduce drought risk on livelihood activities. The study was carried out in Chirumhanzu district, and the methods used for data collection included 217 household surveys, six focus group discussions, key informants’ interviews and document review. The study found that the majority of the households in the study area had access to seasonal weather forecast information (scientific), which almost half of the respondents received through radios. However, vulnerability to climate risks was exacerbated by seasonal weather forecasts, which were deemed by some households to be unreliable, inaccurate and not easily understood. In this regard, some households used indigenous knowledge to inform them on the status of the incoming rainy season and drought prediction. The use of indigenous knowledge depended on individuals’ ability to read and decode natural indicators of seasonal weather forecast and drought prediction. Indigenous knowledge is valuable for climate science as it enhances observations and interpretations on a larger spatial scale with considerable temporal depth by highlighting elements that are measured by climate science. Both scientific weather information and indigenous knowledge are important for seasonal weather forecasting and drought prediction, especially in rural settings, and complement each other if used and availed timely to households.
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来源期刊
Jamba-Journal of Disaster Risk Studies
Jamba-Journal of Disaster Risk Studies SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
7.10%
发文量
37
审稿时长
37 weeks
期刊最新文献
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