el niÑo对东亚夏季气候异常影响中雪深的作用

WANG Yan-Feng, SUN Xu-Guang, YANG Xiu-Qun
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引用次数: 2

摘要

利用全球陆地资料同化系统(GLDAS) NOAH陆面模式、GPCC月平均降雨量和NCAR/NCEP 1948 - 2010年全球月平均再分析资料,采用滤波、复合、线性回归和相关等方法,研究了El Niño成熟冬季欧亚雪深异常的特征及其对融雪后土壤湿度的影响,最后对东亚夏季风的影响,主要结论如下:在El Niño成熟冬季,伊朗高原、巴尔喀什湖东北部和青藏高原南部地区的雪深显著增加,相应的融雪量和土壤湿度也显著增加。上述三个区域被确定为El Niño信号的雪深存储和扩展的关键区域。春季积雪开始融化,土壤湿度相应增加,因此El Niño信号从冬季积雪深度传递到春季土壤湿度。结果,感热通量减小,潜热通量增大,对大气环流有较大影响。伊朗高原土壤湿度异常对El Niño衰夏东亚夏季风的影响最为重要,其对夏季降水的影响模式与El Niño复合降水相似。青藏高原南部和巴尔喀什湖东北部春夏季土壤湿度同步增加,显著促进了华北地区降水的增加。因此,利用El Niño信号调查和预测东亚夏季风变率,应考虑雪深在这些关键区域储存和调节El Niño影响的作用。
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ROLE OF SNOW DEPTH IN THE INFLUENCE OF EL NIÑO ON SUMMER CLIMATE ANOMALIES OVER EAST ASIA

With the datasets of Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) NOAH land surface model, GPCC monthly mean rainfall, and NCAR/NCEP global monthly mean reanalysis from 1948 to 2010, by using methods of filtering, composite and linear regression and correlation, the characteristics of Eurasian snow depth anomalies in El Niño mature winter, its influences on soil moisture after snow melting, and finally on East Asian summer monsoon are investigated, and the main conclusions are as follows: In El Niño mature winter, snow depth in regions of the Iranian Plateau, the northeast of Lake Balkhash and the southern Tibetan Plateau increases remarkably, so are the related snow melting and soil moisture. The above-mentioned three regions are identified as the key regions for snow depth to store and extend the El Niño signals. In spring, the snow begins to melt, and the soil moisture increases correspondingly, thus the El Niño signals are transmitted from winter snow depth to soil moisture in spring. As a result, sensible heat flux decreases and latent heat flux increases, and the atmospheric circulations are greatly influenced. The anomalous soil moisture in the Iranian plateau is most important for the East Asian summer monsoon in El Niño decaying summer, since it has similar impact pattern on the anomalous summer precipitation as the El Niño composite. The spring and summer soil moisture in both the southern Tibetan plateau and the northeast of Lake Balkhash increase simultaneously, which significantly contribute to the increased precipitation in North China. Therefore, to investigate and predict the East Asian summer monsoon variability by using El Niño signal, the roles of snow depth in storing and modulating El Niño impacts in those key regions should be considered.

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