能源消费、安全和天然气的未来:波罗的海地区的液化天然气

IF 0.7 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Strategic Analysis Pub Date : 2022-09-03 DOI:10.1080/09700161.2022.2115230
Pramod Kumar
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引用次数: 4

摘要

能源转型被定义为当一些燃料被其他燃料取代时,能源平衡的结构性变化。然而,这一结构转型过程并没有导致燃料的最终替代,而是导致燃料份额的大幅减少。液化天然气(LNG)被广泛认为是一种过渡燃料,最终将转向可再生能源系统。液化天然气是煤炭、石油、核能和管道天然气的替代品,有助于减少碳排放。然而,液化天然气供应链,包括液化、储存、通过液化天然气油轮运输和再气化,与温室气体(GHG)排放有关,与管道天然气相比,导致液化天然气排放增加。自2000年以来,全球液化天然气市场呈指数级增长。从2000年到2020年,国际层面的液化天然气贸易和出口几乎增加了两倍。同样,液化天然气供应过剩、能源基础设施的改善、灵活的供应合同和相对较低的价格决定了液化天然气在全球市场的发展。Karl Liuhto主编的《能源消费、安全和天然气的未来:波罗的海国家的液化天然气》一书重点关注全球液化天然气市场的发展,重点关注波罗的海地区,并评估了供应安全与液化天然气市场之间的联系。该书共分十二章,分析了波罗的海地区各国液化天然气市场的最新发展(2000年后)。此外,该书还讨论了液化天然气如何帮助波罗的海国家加强能源安全。由于天然气产量和供应的增加以及液化天然气出口和天然气管道的激增,不断发展的液化天然气市场在卡塔尔、澳大利亚、美国、俄罗斯和马来西亚等主要供应商之间经历了巨大的竞争。例如,乌克兰危机被视为美国(主要液化天然气出口国)和俄罗斯(天然气管道出口霸权)之间的能源市场竞争。这一数量的关键在于,随着几份长期天然气管道合同在十年内到期,液化天然气市场可能会继续繁荣。该书强调了液化天然气市场的总体发展,以及进口液化天然气在欧洲联盟(欧盟)的份额不断增加,自2000年以来,这一份额在20年内从10%增加到20%,尽管进口量分布不均匀。例如,德国、奥地利、捷克战略分析,2022年第46卷,第553-554号,https://doi.org/10.1080/09700161.2022.2115230
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The Future of Energy Consumption, Security and Natural Gas: LNG in Baltic Sea Region
E nergy transition is defined as a structural change in energy balance when some fuels are replaced with others. This process of structural transition, however, does not lead to an ultimate replacement of fuel but a substantial reduction of its share. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is widely considered a transition fuel that will eventually lead to a shift to the renewable energy system. LNG provides an alternative to coal, oil, nuclear energy and pipeline gas, as it helps reduce carbon emissions. However, the LNG supply chain, including liquefaction, storage, transportations via LNG tankers, and re-gasification, is associated with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, resulting in additional LNG emissions compared to pipeline gas. The global LNG market has witnessed exponential growth since 2000. LNG trade and export at the international level have almost tripled between 2000 and 2020. Similarly, the oversupply of LNG, improvement in energy infrastructure, flexible supply contracts, and relatively low price, determines the development of LNG in the global market. Karl Liuhto’s edited volume The Future of Energy Consumption, Security and Natural Gas: LNG in Baltic States focuses on the development of LNG market globally with an emphasis on the Baltic Sea region, and assesses the linkages between the supply security and LNG market. Comprising twelve chapters, the book analyses recent developments (post-2000) in the LNG market in countries of the Baltic Sea region. Moreover, the book discusses how LNG helped Baltic Sea countries strengthen energy security. The evolving LNG market has experienced enormous competition among major suppliers including Qatar, Australia, the US, Russia and Malaysia due to the increase of production and supply of natural gas with proliferation of LNG exports and gas pipelines. For example, the Ukrainian crisis is perceived as competition over the energy market between the US (major LNG exporter) and Russia (hegemony over gas pipeline export). The crux of this volume is that as several long-term gas pipeline contracts expire within a decade, the LNG market may continue to flourish. The book highlights the overall development of the LNG market, and the increasing share of imported LNG in the European Union (EU), which has increased from 10 to 20 per cent in two decades since 2000, although the imports are not evenly distributed. For example, countries such as Germany, Austria, Czech Strategic Analysis, 2022 Vol. 46, No. 5, 553–554, https://doi.org/10.1080/09700161.2022.2115230
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Strategic Analysis
Strategic Analysis INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
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