{"title":"通过辅助均匀化的可扩展贝叶斯多变更点检测","authors":"Lu Shaochuan","doi":"10.1111/insr.12511","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n <p>In this paper, we perform a sparse filtering recursion for efficient changepoint detection for discrete-time observations. We attach auxiliary event times to the chronologically ordered observations and formulate multiple changepoint problems of discrete-time observations into continuous-time observations. Ideally, both the computational and memory costs of the proposed auxiliary uniformisation forward-filtering backward-sampling algorithm can be quadratically scaled down to the number of changepoints instead of the number of observations, which would otherwise be prohibitive for a long sequence of observations. To avoid model bias, a time-varying changepoint recurrence rate across different segments is assumed to characterise diverse scales of run lengths of the changepoints. We demonstrate the methods through simulation studies and real data analysis.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":14479,"journal":{"name":"International Statistical Review","volume":"91 1","pages":"88-113"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2022-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Scalable Bayesian Multiple Changepoint Detection via Auxiliary Uniformisation\",\"authors\":\"Lu Shaochuan\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/insr.12511\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div>\\n \\n <p>In this paper, we perform a sparse filtering recursion for efficient changepoint detection for discrete-time observations. We attach auxiliary event times to the chronologically ordered observations and formulate multiple changepoint problems of discrete-time observations into continuous-time observations. Ideally, both the computational and memory costs of the proposed auxiliary uniformisation forward-filtering backward-sampling algorithm can be quadratically scaled down to the number of changepoints instead of the number of observations, which would otherwise be prohibitive for a long sequence of observations. To avoid model bias, a time-varying changepoint recurrence rate across different segments is assumed to characterise diverse scales of run lengths of the changepoints. We demonstrate the methods through simulation studies and real data analysis.</p>\\n </div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14479,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Statistical Review\",\"volume\":\"91 1\",\"pages\":\"88-113\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-06-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Statistical Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/insr.12511\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Statistical Review","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/insr.12511","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Scalable Bayesian Multiple Changepoint Detection via Auxiliary Uniformisation
In this paper, we perform a sparse filtering recursion for efficient changepoint detection for discrete-time observations. We attach auxiliary event times to the chronologically ordered observations and formulate multiple changepoint problems of discrete-time observations into continuous-time observations. Ideally, both the computational and memory costs of the proposed auxiliary uniformisation forward-filtering backward-sampling algorithm can be quadratically scaled down to the number of changepoints instead of the number of observations, which would otherwise be prohibitive for a long sequence of observations. To avoid model bias, a time-varying changepoint recurrence rate across different segments is assumed to characterise diverse scales of run lengths of the changepoints. We demonstrate the methods through simulation studies and real data analysis.
期刊介绍:
International Statistical Review is the flagship journal of the International Statistical Institute (ISI) and of its family of Associations. It publishes papers of broad and general interest in statistics and probability. The term Review is to be interpreted broadly. The types of papers that are suitable for publication include (but are not limited to) the following: reviews/surveys of significant developments in theory, methodology, statistical computing and graphics, statistical education, and application areas; tutorials on important topics; expository papers on emerging areas of research or application; papers describing new developments and/or challenges in relevant areas; papers addressing foundational issues; papers on the history of statistics and probability; white papers on topics of importance to the profession or society; and historical assessment of seminal papers in the field and their impact.