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引用次数: 0
摘要
由于股市固有的波动性,预测股市仍然是一个困难的领域。随着人工智能的发展,利用深度学习进行股价预测的研究越来越多,但缺乏应用由准备验证数据和选择最优特征集组成的预测系统的重要性。因此,本研究提出了一种基于 GA 优化的深度学习技术(CNN-LSTM),该技术可根据人工智能模型预测第二天的收盘价,从而更准确地预测未来的股票价值。在本研究中,CNN 提取与股价预测相关的特征,LSTM 反映输入时间序列数据的长期历史过程。过去 20 天的基本股价数据和技术指标数据构成了预测次日收盘价的数据集,然后建立了 CNN-LSTM 混合模型。为了应用该模型的最优参数,结合使用了 GA。模型评估选择了韩国股票指数(KOSPI)数据。实验结果表明,与单一 CNN、LSTM 模型和 CNN-LSTM 模型相比,基于 GA 的 CNN-LSTM 预测准确率更高。这项研究有助于投资者和政策制定者利用深度学习模型将股价波动作为更准确的预测数据。
A CNN-LSTM Stock Prediction Model Based on Genetic Algorithm Optimization
Predicting the stock market remains a difficult field because of its inherent volatility. With the development of artificial intelligence, research using deep learning for stock price prediction is increasing, but the importance of applying a prediction system consisting of preparing verified data and selecting an optimal feature set is lacking. Accordingly, this study proposes a GA optimization-based deep learning technique (CNN-LSTM) that predicts the next day's closing price based on an artificial intelligence model to more accurately predict future stock values. In this study, CNN extracts features related to stock price prediction, and LSTM reflects the long-term history process of input time series data. Basic stock price data and technical indicator data for the last 20 days prepare a data set to predict the next day's closing price, and then a CNN-LSTM hybrid model is set. In order to apply the optimal parameters of this model, GA was used in combination. The Korea Stock Index (KOSPI) data was selected for model evaluation. Experimental results showed that GA-based CNN-LSTM has higher prediction accuracy than single CNN, LSTM models, and CNN-LSTM model. This study helps investors and policy makers who want to use stock price fluctuations as more accurate predictive data using deep learning models.
期刊介绍:
The current remarkable growth in the Asia-Pacific financial markets is certain to continue. These markets are expected to play a further important role in the world capital markets for investment and risk management. In accordance with this development, Asia-Pacific Financial Markets (formerly Financial Engineering and the Japanese Markets), the official journal of the Japanese Association of Financial Econometrics and Engineering (JAFEE), is expected to provide an international forum for researchers and practitioners in academia, industry, and government, who engage in empirical and/or theoretical research into the financial markets. We invite submission of quality papers on all aspects of finance and financial engineering.
Here we interpret the term ''financial engineering'' broadly enough to cover such topics as financial time series, portfolio analysis, global asset allocation, trading strategy for investment, optimization methods, macro monetary economic analysis and pricing models for various financial assets including derivatives We stress that purely theoretical papers, as well as empirical studies that use Asia-Pacific market data, are welcome.
Officially cited as: Asia-Pac Financ Markets