{"title":"如何避免与中国发生核战争","authors":"R. Garwin, F. V. von Hippel","doi":"10.1080/00963402.2023.2178161","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The United States is in a developing military confrontation with China over Taiwan. China has built long-distance precision strike missiles to prevent US Navy task forces from participating effectively. The early Cold War confrontation between the Soviet Union and United States over West Berlin provides a relevant precedent. There is a significant probability a war between China and the United States could escalate to nuclear threats or even use. Recently, China has launched a major buildup of its nuclear forces. It is urgent that the two countries launch talks on nuclear arms control, both to prevent a nuclear arms race and to reassure each other that both want to avoid a nuclear conflict. Citizens should reengage with their governments to urge alternatives to a new nuclear arms race, and US scientists should brainstorm with their Chinese counterparts about nuclear risks and risk reduction.","PeriodicalId":46802,"journal":{"name":"Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists","volume":"79 1","pages":"57 - 64"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"How to avoid nuclear war with China\",\"authors\":\"R. Garwin, F. V. von Hippel\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/00963402.2023.2178161\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT The United States is in a developing military confrontation with China over Taiwan. China has built long-distance precision strike missiles to prevent US Navy task forces from participating effectively. The early Cold War confrontation between the Soviet Union and United States over West Berlin provides a relevant precedent. There is a significant probability a war between China and the United States could escalate to nuclear threats or even use. Recently, China has launched a major buildup of its nuclear forces. It is urgent that the two countries launch talks on nuclear arms control, both to prevent a nuclear arms race and to reassure each other that both want to avoid a nuclear conflict. Citizens should reengage with their governments to urge alternatives to a new nuclear arms race, and US scientists should brainstorm with their Chinese counterparts about nuclear risks and risk reduction.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46802,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists\",\"volume\":\"79 1\",\"pages\":\"57 - 64\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-03-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2023.2178161\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2023.2178161","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
ABSTRACT The United States is in a developing military confrontation with China over Taiwan. China has built long-distance precision strike missiles to prevent US Navy task forces from participating effectively. The early Cold War confrontation between the Soviet Union and United States over West Berlin provides a relevant precedent. There is a significant probability a war between China and the United States could escalate to nuclear threats or even use. Recently, China has launched a major buildup of its nuclear forces. It is urgent that the two countries launch talks on nuclear arms control, both to prevent a nuclear arms race and to reassure each other that both want to avoid a nuclear conflict. Citizens should reengage with their governments to urge alternatives to a new nuclear arms race, and US scientists should brainstorm with their Chinese counterparts about nuclear risks and risk reduction.