戒严时期企业主体危机管理的特点

R. Sharanov, B. Vatchenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的。探讨戒严期间中小、大型企业危机管理的特点。方法。运用分析综合、观察、概括、比较分析等方法完成任务,达到研究目的。运用绝对、相对值、相关和回归分析等方法,建立了破产概率估计的逻辑模型。该研究的信息库由乌克兰和外国科学家的作品、统计资料和互联网资源支持。发现。指出了军事入侵乌克兰的经济后果,并确定了当代条件下商业经营的主要挑战。确定了中小微企业危机管理的特点,提出了紧急危机管理和传统危机管理两种类型。本文考虑了危机诊断的细节,提供了基于各种业务实体的活动规模分析其性能的方法学建议。对于微型和小型企业实体,提出了活动评估指标,这些指标基于最少的数据和简单的计算,对于中型和大型企业,采用比率分析和评估破产概率的模型进行全面评估,包括作者自己的logit模型,在乌克兰企业中进行了测试。在戒严期间,企业和国家层面都采取了切实的反危机措施来改善商业运作。创意。引入了“紧急危机管理”的概念来描述微型和小型企业实体的功能。形成了战时企业危机管理的概念,完善了对小、微、中、大企业主体的系统诊断方法。特别是,作者提出了评估破产概率的logit模型。实用价值。为根据企业活动的规模实施企业危机管理提出了方法建议,目的是加强它们在当代战时条件下的运作。本研究引入并验证了乌克兰企业的logit模型,验证了该模型的有效性。本文的研究成果可以为经济学家、研究人员和从业人员提高企业效率提供借鉴。
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Features of crisis management of business entities during martial law
Purpose. To characterize the features of crisis management of micro, small, medium and large enterprises during martial law. Methodology. Methods of analysis and synthesis, observation, generalization, and comparative analysis were used to fulfill the tasks and achieve the goal of the research. The methods of absolute, relative values, correlation and regression analysis were used in the development of the logit-model for estimating the probability of bankruptcy. The research’s information base was backed by the works of Ukrainian and foreign scientists, statistical materials, and Internet sources. Findings. The economic consequences of the military invasion in Ukraine are indicated the main challenges of business operation in contemporary conditions are identified. The features of crisis management of micro, small, medium and large enterprises are determined and two types of it are proposed: urgent and traditional. The specifics of crisis diagnostics are considered, providing methodological recommendations for analyzing the performance of various business entities based on the scale of their activities. For micro and small business entities, activity assessment indicators are proposed, which are based on a minimum amount of data and simple calculations, for medium and large ones – a comprehensive assessment using ratio analysis and models for assessing the probability of bankruptcy, including the authors’ own logit model, tested at Ukrainian enterprises. Anti-crisis measures are substantiated to improve business functioning during martial law, both at the enterprise and state levels. Originality. The concept of “urgent crisis management” has been introduced to characterize the functioning of micro and small business entities. A concept of enterprise crisis management during wartime has been developed and a methodical approach to the diagnosis of subjects of micro, small, medium and large enterprises has been improved. In particular, the authors’ logit model for assessing the probability of bankruptcy has been proposed. Practical value. Methodological recommendations have been provided for the implementation of enterprise crisis management based on the scale of entrepreneurial activities, aiming to enhance their functioning in contemporary wartime conditions. The study introduces and validates a logit model on Ukrainian enterprises, demonstrating its effectiveness. The research findings discussed in this paper can be used by economists-researchers and practitioners to enhance business efficiency.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
148
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