{"title":"亚洲股市存在心理障碍吗?","authors":"Júlio Lobão, M. Couto","doi":"10.21315/aamjaf2019.15.1.4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We examine six major Asian stock markets for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) analysis to assess the differential impact of being above or below a possible barrier. The strongest indication of barriers was found in the markets of South Korea and Taiwan. There is mild evidence of barriers in Japan and Hong Kong and the stock markets of Singapore and China exhibit only weak signs of psychological barriers. These findings challenge the notion that Asian markets are efficient and support the claim that technical analysis strategies can be useful in some of these markets.","PeriodicalId":44370,"journal":{"name":"Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2019-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Are there Psychological Barriers in Asian Stock Markets?\",\"authors\":\"Júlio Lobão, M. Couto\",\"doi\":\"10.21315/aamjaf2019.15.1.4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We examine six major Asian stock markets for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) analysis to assess the differential impact of being above or below a possible barrier. The strongest indication of barriers was found in the markets of South Korea and Taiwan. There is mild evidence of barriers in Japan and Hong Kong and the stock markets of Singapore and China exhibit only weak signs of psychological barriers. These findings challenge the notion that Asian markets are efficient and support the claim that technical analysis strategies can be useful in some of these markets.\",\"PeriodicalId\":44370,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-08-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21315/aamjaf2019.15.1.4\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21315/aamjaf2019.15.1.4","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Are there Psychological Barriers in Asian Stock Markets?
We examine six major Asian stock markets for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) analysis to assess the differential impact of being above or below a possible barrier. The strongest indication of barriers was found in the markets of South Korea and Taiwan. There is mild evidence of barriers in Japan and Hong Kong and the stock markets of Singapore and China exhibit only weak signs of psychological barriers. These findings challenge the notion that Asian markets are efficient and support the claim that technical analysis strategies can be useful in some of these markets.
期刊介绍:
To provide a forum for the exchange of ideas and dissemination of empirical findings and analytical research in the specialized areas of accounting and finance with special emphasis on scholarly works with policy implications for countries in the Asia Pacific. The following are some of the topical subject areas relevant to the journal (but are not limited to): Accounting • Financial reporting and accounting standards • Auditing issues • Value based accounting and its relevance • Theory of accounting firm • Environmental auditing • Corporate governance issues • Public sector accounting Finance • Valuation of financial assets • International capital flows • Ownership and agency theory • Stock market behavior • Investment and portfolio management • Islamic banking and finance • Microstructures of financial markets