亚洲股市存在心理障碍吗?

Júlio Lobão, M. Couto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们考察了六个主要的亚洲股市,以寻找整数时的心理障碍迹象。我们测试了指数尾数的均匀性,并使用回归和广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)分析来评估高于或低于可能障碍的差异影响。壁垒最明显的是韩国和台湾市场。日本和香港股市有轻微的障碍迹象,新加坡和中国股市仅显示出微弱的心理障碍迹象。这些发现挑战了亚洲市场高效的观念,并支持了技术分析策略在某些亚洲市场中可能有用的说法。
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Are there Psychological Barriers in Asian Stock Markets?
We examine six major Asian stock markets for indication of psychological barriers at round numbers. We test for uniformity in the trailing digits of the indices and use regression and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) analysis to assess the differential impact of being above or below a possible barrier. The strongest indication of barriers was found in the markets of South Korea and Taiwan. There is mild evidence of barriers in Japan and Hong Kong and the stock markets of Singapore and China exhibit only weak signs of psychological barriers. These findings challenge the notion that Asian markets are efficient and support the claim that technical analysis strategies can be useful in some of these markets.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
审稿时长
20 weeks
期刊介绍: To provide a forum for the exchange of ideas and dissemination of empirical findings and analytical research in the specialized areas of accounting and finance with special emphasis on scholarly works with policy implications for countries in the Asia Pacific. The following are some of the topical subject areas relevant to the journal (but are not limited to): Accounting • Financial reporting and accounting standards • Auditing issues • Value based accounting and its relevance • Theory of accounting firm • Environmental auditing • Corporate governance issues • Public sector accounting Finance • Valuation of financial assets • International capital flows • Ownership and agency theory • Stock market behavior • Investment and portfolio management • Islamic banking and finance • Microstructures of financial markets
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