运费的季节性

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Journal of International Logistics and Trade Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI:10.24006/JILT.2020.18.4.149
T. B. Raju, P. Chauhan, S. Tiwari, Vishal Kashav
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引用次数: 0

摘要

*通讯作者:Totakura Bangar Raju Transportation Management, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun, India Tel: +91-7895677779 E-mail: bangarraju@gmail.com摘要本文详细考察了集装箱运价的季节性(确定性)特征,并比较了不同运价指标的季节性特征。进行确定性季节性单位根检验以达到设定的目标。本研究的结论是,所有指标(本文检验)表现出显著的确定性季节性。在1月和8月,所有五个系列都没有观察到季节性影响。与此同时,除欧洲出口指数(EEI)外,所有指数在2月、9月和12月都表现出明显的季节性特征。5月份五大指标均表现出明显的季节性,系数符号显示运价下降。3月、10月和11月;可以观察到,只有EEI表现出明显的季节性模式。研究结果可能对参与集装箱货运业务的承运人和代理商有利。此外,托运人可以清楚地了解不同贸易路线的运费性质。
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Seasonality in Freight Rates
*Corresponding author: Totakura Bangar Raju Transportation Management, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun, India Tel: +91-7895677779 E-mail: bangarraju@gmail.com Abstract This paper inspects in detail the seasonality (deterministic) in container freight rates, and compares seasonality patterns in different freight rate indices. A deterministic seasonality unit root test is performed to achieve set objectives. This study concludes that all the indices (tested in this paper) exhibit significant deterministic seasonality. For January and August, there is no seasonal effect observed in all five series. At the same time, all the indices except Exports from Europe Rate Index (EEI) exhibit significant seasonal patterns in February, September, and December. All five indices exhibit significant seasonality during May, and the coefficient sign shows a drop in the freight rates. During March, October, and November; it is observed that only EEI exhibit significant seasonal patterns. The results could be beneficial for carriers and agents who are involved in the containerised freight transport business. Also, shippers could get a clear idea about the freight rates' nature across various trade routes.
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来源期刊
Journal of International Logistics and Trade
Journal of International Logistics and Trade Business, Management and Accounting-Marketing
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
6
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