埃及的夜灯与经济表现

N. S. Omar, A. Ismal
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引用次数: 2

摘要

据我所知,本文首次使用2008至2013财年埃及27个省的次国家GDP数据,在国家层面上估计了夜间照明(NTL)与实际国内生产总值(GDP)之间的关联。研究发现,NTL在地方和国家层面与GDP呈正相关,具有统计学意义。因此,NTL可以在国家和地方层面衡量和预测埃及的GDP。这些发现证实了以前的大多数研究,即当发展中国家没有官方数据或时间不多时,NTL可以很好地代表GDP。
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Night Lights and Economic Performance in Egypt
This paper, to the best of my knowledge, is the first to estimate the association between Nighttime Lights (NTL) and real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at the national level, using sub-national GDP data for the 27 Egyptian governorates over FY08-FY13. The study finds that NTL has a positive and statistically significant correlation with GDP at the sub-national and national levels. Hence, NTL can measure and predict GDP in Egypt, at the national and sub-national levels. These findings affirm most previous research that NTL could be a good proxy for GDP when official data are unavailable or time infrequent in developing countries.
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