考虑不同上游河流输入的下游洪水流量的人工神经网络确定

Briti Sundar Sil, B. Das
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引用次数: 4

摘要

对于洪水事件的估计和预测,研究人员和工程师大多使用世界各地广泛使用的Muskingum洪水演算方法。基于两参数的Muskingum模型的应用仅适用于单一入流洪水路径,而不存在任何侧向流入路径河段的情况。然而,通常情况下,河流由不同上游点的多条支流或溪流供水。因此,单次流入-流出的马斯京根模型不能应用于这种情况。为了克服这一问题,将人工神经网络(ANN)应用于考虑具有共同流出断面的各种上游河流流入的河流系统。利用并发放电数据建立了一个简单的静态神经网络模型。该模型应用于从蒙大拿州圣路易斯到伊利诺伊州底比斯下游的密西西比河流域。在这一河段,从圣路易斯到底比斯,在密西西比河中,共有六条横向流入在不同位置汇入主河。利用人工神经网络模型,将所有上游断面的流量作为输入,计算底比斯最下游断面的流量。对估算数据的统计性能分析表明,神经网络可以有效地用于考虑多次入流的洪水流量估算。
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DETERMINATION OF DOWNSTREAM FLOOD FLOW CONSIDERING INPUTS FROM DIFFERENT UPSTREAM RIVERS USING ANN
For estimating and forecasting of flood event, researchers and engineers mostly use the Muskingum flood routing method which is widely used throughout the world. The application of two parameter based Muskingum model is valid only for single inflow flood routing without any lateral inflow into the routing reach. However, normally a river is fed by a number of branch channels or rivulets at various upstream points. So, the single inflow-outflow Muskingum model cannot be applied in such situation. To overcome this problem, artificial Neural Network (ANN) has been applied in a river system considering inflow from various upstream rivers with a common outflow section. A simple static ANN model have been developed using concurrent discharge data. The model is applied in Mississippi River network starting from St. Louis, Montana to downstream section at Thebes, Illinois. In this reach, from St. Louis to Thebes, in the Mississippi river, a total of six lateral inflows confluence to the main river at different locations. Using ANN model, considering water discharge as input from all the upstream sections, water discharge at the most downstream section, Thebes is computed. Statistical performance analysis of the estimated data shows that ANN can be efficiently used for estimation of flood flow considering multiple inflows.
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来源期刊
Journal of Urban and Environmental Engineering
Journal of Urban and Environmental Engineering Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Urban and Environmental Engineering (JUEE) provides a forum for original papers and for the exchange of information and views on significant developments in urban and environmental engineering worldwide. The scope of the journal includes: (a) Water Resources and Waste Management [...] (b) Constructions and Environment[...] (c) Urban Design[...] (d) Transportation Engineering[...] The Editors welcome original papers, scientific notes and discussions, in English, in those and related topics. All papers submitted to the Journal are peer reviewed by an international panel of Associate Editors and other experts. Authors are encouraged to suggest potential referees with their submission. Authors will have to confirm that the work, or any part of it, has not been published before and is not presently being considered for publication elsewhere.
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